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Copa del Rey
0–2
Full-time
Celta
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puerto de Vega Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
7 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
47 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
50 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
63 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
64 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
66 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
67 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
90 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
97 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
98 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
99 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puerto de Vega Celta
Half-time 0–0
S. Ardura 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 O. Marcos
↦ Y. Lago
51′
⚽ O. Marcos 0–1
F. Cervi
53′
⚽ D. Rodriguez 0–2
E. Giraudo 🔁
↦ D. Alvarez
59′
R. Menendez 🔁
↦ D. Fernandez
59′
65′
🔁 P. Meixus
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
65′
🔁 A. Antanon
↦ H. Gonzalez
P. Vilar 🔁
↦ G. Trovato
72′
77′
🔁 M. Fernandez
↦ D. Rodriguez
77′
🔁 H. Sotelo
↦ M. Roman
P. Garcia 🔁
↦ P. Riesgo
79′
M. Suarez 🔁
↦ A. Rodriguez
79′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Puerto de Vega

1 J. Torres
21 M. Da Silva
5 J. Suarez
6 A. Rodriguez
22 S. Otero
8 S. Ardura
9 D. Fernandez
20 P. Riesgo
10 B. Fernandez
11 D. Alvarez
19 G. Trovato
Bench (11)
13 E. Mayordomo
16 P. Garcia
4 E. Giraudo
7 M. Silva
18 R. Menendez
2 P. Vilar
23 I. Ballina
14 G. Mendez
15 L. Serrano
17 S. Suarez
24 M. Suarez

Celta

1 I. Villar
4 J. Aidoo
29 Y. Lago
24 C. Dominguez
11 F. Cervi
39 J. El Abdellaoui
14 D. Rodriguez
16 M. Roman
21 M. Ristic
30 H. Gonzalez
23 H. Alvarez
Bench (10)
40 M. Gonzalez
25 M. V. Vidal Girona
12 M. Fernandez
31 P. Meixus
36 A. Antanon
38 H. Burcio
33 O. Marcos
22 H. Sotelo
9 F. Jutgla
15 B. Zaragoza

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.