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Copa del Rey
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alberite Puerto de Vega
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+4,0
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Alberite 19. · Puerto de Vega 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Puerto de Vega 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Sant Just 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Textil Escudo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 CD Sant Jordi 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sporting Ceuta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Maracena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Inter de Valdemoro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Universitario FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Deportivo Getxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Betis Valladolid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Campanario 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 CD Yuncos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 SD Negreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Lourdes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Los Garres 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Atletico Calatayud 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Alberite 1 0 0 1 -4 0
20 Atlético Melilla 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alberite Puerto de Vega
17′
M. Silva 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 I. Ochoa
67′
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.