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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Brest

T T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Troyes

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

14%

21%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 75%

64%

86%

Average goals

2,9

3,9

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Brest 19. · Troyes 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	13	2	0	+34	41
2	Lens	15	11	3	1	+16	36
3	Rennes	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Marseille	14	8	3	3	+12	27
5	Monaco	14	8	3	3	+9	27
6	Lorient	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Lille	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Lyon	15	6	3	6	+5	21
9	Nice	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Clermont	15	5	4	6	-4	19
11	Reims	14	3	7	4	-5	16
12	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-7	16
13	Troyes	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Montpellier	14	4	1	9	-5	13
15	Auxerre	15	3	4	8	-17	13
16	Nantes	14	2	6	6	-7	12
17	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-10	11
18	Strasbourg	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Brest	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Angers	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	8	8	0	0	+12	24
2	Rennes	8	7	0	1	+15	21
3	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+12	19
4	Lyon	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Lille	7	4	1	2	-1	13
8	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Clermont	7	3	1	3	-5	10
11	Nantes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Auxerre	7	2	3	2	-2	9
14	Reims	7	2	3	2	-3	9
15	Troyes	7	1	5	1	-1	8
16	Nice	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Strasbourg	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Ajaccio	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Angers	8	1	1	6	-9	4
20	Brest	6	0	3	3	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Lens	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Nice	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Lille	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Rennes	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Clermont	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Reims	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Ajaccio	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Brest	8	2	1	5	-4	7
13	Troyes	7	2	0	5	-3	6
14	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Montpellier	7	1	1	5	-3	4
16	Lyon	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Toulouse	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Angers	6	1	1	4	-9	4
19	Auxerre	8	1	1	6	-15	4
20	Nantes	8	0	3	5	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.