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Eredivisie

Referee: R Hensgens

Sparta Rotterdam

S T S U S

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

44%

11%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

67%

11%

Both score Ø 56%

44%

67%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 7. · Nijmegen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+19	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+16	21
4	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+13	20
5	Twente	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	+6	14
7	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Heerenveen	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	Nijmegen	9	1	7	1	+2	10
12	Excelsior	9	3	1	5	-9	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Groningen	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Cambuur	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Vitesse	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	FC Emmen	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Volendam	10	1	3	6	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Waalwijk	5	2	2	1	+6	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	For Sittard	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	FC Emmen	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nijmegen	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Cambuur	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Volendam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Vitesse	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
12	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Volendam	6	0	3	3	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.