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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
Waalwijk
T U S T S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waalwijk 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Ajax 8 6 1 1 +17 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +15 18
4 Feyenoord 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Twente 7 5 1 1 +11 16
6 Utrecht 8 3 3 2 +0 12
7 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
8 Waalwijk 7 2 3 2 +5 9
9 Nijmegen 8 1 6 1 +2 9
10 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
11 Excelsior 8 3 0 5 -9 9
12 Groningen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 -5 7
14 For Sittard 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Cambuur 8 2 1 5 -6 7
16 Vitesse 8 1 2 5 -12 5
17 Volendam 8 1 2 5 -15 5
18 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 M. Kramer
I. Bel Hassani
10′
35′
A. Verschueren 1–1
T. Lauritsen
R. Kuijpers 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
42′
Half-time 1–1
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
46′
2–1 I. Bel Hassani
R. Kuijpers
60′
62′
🟥 Shurandy Sambo
65′
🔁 D. Abels
↦ J. de Guzmán
Iliass Bel Hassani 🟨
67′
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
72′
75′
A. Verschueren 2–2
V. van Crooij
78′
🔁 J. Kitolano
↦ Y. Namli
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ P. Clement
86′
87′
🔁 O. Rekik
↦ S. Mijnans
88′
🔁 J. van Mullem
↦ A. Verschueren
Shawn Adewoye 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
5 T. Lutonda D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
29 M. Kramer F
7 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
17 R. Kuijpers
8 P. Vroegh
19 Z. Bakkali
9 M. Biereth
22 S. Bakari
12 H. Mulder
26 S. Augustijns
35 K. Felida
13 M. Spenkelink
34 L. Wouters
21 Joel Pereira
33 Y. Oukili

Coach: J. Oosting

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 Y. Schoonderwaldt G
2 S. Sambo D
3 B. Vriends D
4 A. Auassar D
5 M. Pinto D
6 J. de Guzmán M
10 S. Mijnans M
8 A. Verschueren M
7 Y. Namli F
9 T. Lauritsen F
11 V. van Crooij F
Bench (12)
12 D. Abels
16 J. Kitolano
13 O. Rekik
22 J. van Mullem
20 D. van Crooij
21 P. Brouwer
15 A. Meijers
17 J. Lokilo
14 M. Eerdhuijzen
30 I. Kort
18 K. Saito
19 M. Engels

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,37
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.