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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Kongsvinger
S T S U T
4–1
Full-time
Raufoss
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
25%
0%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 11. · Raufoss 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjondalen 6 5 1 0 +6 16
2 Brann 5 3 2 0 +9 11
3 Sogndal 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Start 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Stabaek 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Sandnes ULF 4 3 0 1 -1 9
7 Fredrikstad 5 2 2 1 +3 8
8 KFUM Oslo 5 2 2 1 -1 8
9 Ranheim 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Raufoss 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Kongsvinger 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Grorud 5 0 3 2 -4 3
13 Asane 5 0 3 2 -8 3
14 Stjørdals-Blink 5 0 2 3 -4 2
15 Skeid 5 0 0 5 -5 0
16 Bryne 6 0 0 6 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Raufoss
1–0 P. Steiring
34′
2–0 M. Vinjor
36′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Vinjor
52′
56′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ A. Guðjónsson
60′
G. Simenstad 3–1
L. Gerson 🔁
↦ H. Holter
62′
B. Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
62′
4–1 V. Grodås
72′
73′
🔁 M. Ndiaye
↦ M. Johnsgård
T. Bjørnebye 🔁
↦ M. Bringaker
80′
81′
🔁 T. Haltvik
↦ F. Brattbakk
S. Marthinussen 🔁
↦ J. Grundt
91′
K. Egell-Johnsen 🔁
↦ T. Murray
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
3 V. Grodås
16 P. Steiring
2 T. Murray
5 F. Holmé
17 M. Gjerstrøm
6 H. Holter
23 M. Vinjor
20 J. Grundt
8 M. Andersen
26 M. Bringaker
Bench (9)
10 L. Gerson
14 B. Pedersen
18 T. Bjørnebye
11 S. Marthinussen
25 K. Egell-Johnsen
7 M. Al Laham
19 K. Jahr
24 O. Sandberg
31 A. Smedplass

Coach: E. Mæland

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
5 A. Guðjónsson
27 H. Haugen
7 É. Dadjo
8 M. Johnsgård
11 N. Fremstad
6 H. Hammer
20 G. Simenstad
25 E. Frøysa
15 M. Aanesland
26 F. Brattbakk
Bench (8)
22 M. Karlsbakk
28 M. Ndiaye
10 T. Haltvik
3 A. Møllerhagen
14 S. Werni
18 E. Bydal
19 T. Andersen
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.