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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
U S S U U
2–1
Full-time
Dundee
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 24%
32%
16%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
51%
Both score Ø 48%
49%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Dundee 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +70 93
2 Rangers 38 27 8 3 +49 89
3 Hearts 38 17 10 11 +10 61
4 Dundee United 38 12 12 14 -7 48
5 Livingston 37 12 10 15 -6 46
6 Motherwell 38 12 10 16 -19 46
7 St Mirren 37 10 13 14 -18 43
8 Hibernian 37 10 12 15 -8 42
9 Ross County 38 10 11 17 -14 41
10 Aberdeen 37 10 10 17 -5 40
11 ST Johnstone 37 8 11 18 -23 35
12 Dundee 37 6 11 20 -29 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Dundee
20′
🟨 Josh Mulligan
Cristian Montano 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. McCowan
↦ P. McMullan
59′
J. Mulligan 0–1
J. Marshall
J. Nouble 🔁
↦ S. Soto
60′
N. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. McMillan
60′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
60′
64′
🔁 D. Mullen
↦ Z. Rudden
67′
🟨 Jordan Marshall
S. Pittman 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
69′
G. Maley 🔁
↦ M. Stryjek
75′
76′
🔁 C. Adam
↦ M. Anderson
76′
🔁 V. Daley-Campbell
↦ J. Marshall
1–1 A. Shinnie
A. Forrest
78′
2–1 A. Forrest
O. Bailey
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
21 J. McMillan D
5 J. Fitzwater D
16 A. Lewis D
15 M. Boyes D
22 A. Shinnie M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 C. Montaño M
33 S. Oméonga M
14 O. Bailey M
12 S. Soto F
Bench (9)
19 J. Nouble
2 N. Devlin
17 A. Forrest
8 S. Pittman
36 G. Maley
6 A. Obileye
18 J. Holt
3 J. Longridge
23 C. Chukwuemeka

Coach: D. Martindale

Dundee

4-1-4-1
30 H. Sharp G
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan M
24 M. Anderson M
15 J. Mulligan M
77 N. McGinn M
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (8)
17 L. McCowan
9 D. Mullen
26 C. Adam
22 V. Daley-Campbell
4 L. Fontaine
12 J. Chapman
21 I. Lawlor
19 F. Robertson

Coach: J. McPake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,39
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.