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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Anderlecht
S T U S S
0–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 67%
62%
71%
Points per game
2,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
62%
65%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,4
2,4
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 St. Gilloise 34 24 5 5 +53 77
3 Anderlecht 34 21 9 4 +51 72
4 Gent 35 20 8 7 +31 68
5 Antwerp 35 19 6 10 +14 63
6 Genk 35 18 6 11 +27 60
7 Charleroi 35 16 8 11 +11 56
8 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
9 Mechelen 35 15 5 15 -5 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 36 9 5 22 -37 32
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht St. Gilloise
2′
K. Mitoma 0–1
L. Amani
Wesley Hoedt 🟨
6′
Marco Kana 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Siebe Van Der Heyden
49′
D. Undav 0–2
51′
🟨 Christian Burgess
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ K. Arnstad
52′
K. Olsson 🔁
↦ M. Kana
70′
77′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ D. Vanzeir
77′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ T. Teuma
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
83′
Michael Murillo 🟥
87′
88′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ D. Undav
89′
🔁 J. Bager
↦ S. Van der Heyden
91′
🔁 G. François
↦ L. Amani
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
3 H. Delcroix D
17 Sergio Gómez D
55 M. Kana M
8 J. Cullen M
7 F. Amuzu M
61 K. Arnstad
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Verschaeren
20 K. Olsson
11 L. Refaelov
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
46 A. Ait El Hadj
27 N. Sadiki
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
2 B. Nieuwkoop
23 Cameron Puertas
25 D. Marcq
4 J. Bager
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
64 K. Kozłowski

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
U
4,18
B ✓
5,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.