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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T U U U U

0–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

15%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

52%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 16. · Erzgebirge Aue 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	33	19	5	9	+27	62
2	Werder Bremen	33	17	9	7	+20	60
3	Hamburg	33	15	12	6	+31	57
4	Darmstadt	33	17	6	10	+22	57
5	St Pauli	33	15	9	9	+13	54
6	Paderborn	33	13	12	8	+15	51
7	Nurnberg	33	14	9	10	+1	51
8	Heidenheim	33	14	7	12	-4	49
9	Holstein Kiel	33	12	9	12	-6	45
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	11	11	11	+5	44
11	Karlsruhe	33	9	14	10	+1	41
12	Hansa Rostock	33	10	11	12	-10	41
13	Regensburg	33	10	10	13	+1	40
14	Hannover	33	10	9	14	-15	39
15	Sandhausen	33	9	11	13	-14	38
16	Dresden	33	7	11	15	-12	32
17	Erzgebirge Aue	33	5	8	20	-41	23
18	Ingolstadt	33	4	9	20	-34	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	4	2	+18	34
2	Hamburg	17	9	6	2	+19	33
3	Schalke 04	17	10	2	5	+13	32
4	Heidenheim	16	9	4	3	+7	31
5	Darmstadt	16	9	3	4	+16	30
6	Werder Bremen	16	7	6	3	+10	27
7	Nurnberg	16	8	3	5	+4	27
8	Holstein Kiel	17	8	3	6	+0	27
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	6	6	5	+7	24
10	Karlsruhe	17	5	9	3	+6	24
11	Regensburg	17	6	4	7	+2	22
12	Hannover	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Dresden	16	5	5	6	+1	20
14	Paderborn	17	4	7	6	+2	19
15	Hansa Rostock	16	4	5	7	-7	17
16	Sandhausen	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Erzgebirge Aue	17	3	3	11	-20	12
18	Ingolstadt	17	2	5	10	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	17	10	3	4	+10	33
2	Paderborn	16	9	5	2	+13	32
3	Schalke 04	16	9	3	4	+14	30
4	Darmstadt	17	8	3	6	+6	27
5	Hamburg	16	6	6	4	+12	24
6	Sandhausen	17	6	6	5	-2	24
7	Hansa Rostock	17	6	6	5	-3	24
8	Nurnberg	17	6	6	5	-3	24
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	St Pauli	17	5	5	7	-5	20
11	Regensburg	16	4	6	6	-1	18
12	Holstein Kiel	16	4	6	6	-6	18
13	Hannover	17	5	3	9	-11	18
14	Heidenheim	17	5	3	9	-11	18
15	Karlsruhe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
16	Dresden	17	2	6	9	-13	12
17	Erzgebirge Aue	16	2	5	9	-21	11
18	Ingolstadt	16	2	4	10	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.