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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Aarhus
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
73%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Midtjylland 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 12 7 3 2 +8 24
2 Randers FC 11 6 4 1 +6 22
3 Viborg 12 6 3 3 +4 21
4 Silkeborg 11 6 1 4 +5 19
5 Aarhus 11 5 1 5 +3 16
6 FC Copenhagen 12 5 1 6 +1 16
7 Midtjylland 11 3 5 3 +1 14
8 Horsens 11 4 2 5 -2 14
9 Odense 11 4 2 5 -5 14
10 Brondby 11 3 3 5 -5 12
11 Aalborg 11 2 4 5 -5 10
12 Lyngby 12 0 5 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Midtjylland
Frederik Tingager 🟥
28′
G. Links 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
39′
44′
🟨 Kristoffer Olsson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Evander
46′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ N. Dyhr
A. D'Alberto 🔁
↦ E. Kahl
59′
S. Hausner 🔁
↦ T. Mølgaard
59′
69′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ M. Thychosen
77′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ P. Sisto
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ Kevin Yakob
79′
J. Duin 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
79′
Gift Links 🟨
85′
87′
A. Dreyer 0–1
S. Kaba
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 S. Gartenmann
↦ K. Olsson
Mads Emil Madsen 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 Kevin Yakob M
19 E. Kahl M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
11 G. Links
26 A. D'Alberto
37 S. Hausner
29 F. Brandhof
18 J. Duin
13 A. Munksgaard
27 S. Grønning
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
46 A. Beck

Coach: U. Rösler

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
17 M. Thychosen D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
73 Juninho D
44 N. Dyhr D
10 Evander M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
11 G. Isaksen F
36 A. Dreyer F
7 P. Sisto F
Bench (9)
9 S. Kaba
29 Paulinho
18 E. Chilufya
4 S. Gartenmann
24 O. Sørensen
20 V. Byskov
35 Charles
16 E. Ólafsson
21 A. Nibe

Coach: Albert Capellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.