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Superligaen
Referee: Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt
Silkeborg
S U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Aarhus
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Silkeborg 4. · Aarhus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Randers FC 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Viborg 8 5 0 3 +3 15
4 Silkeborg 8 4 1 3 +4 13
5 Aarhus 8 4 1 3 +3 13
6 FC Copenhagen 9 4 0 5 +1 12
7 Horsens 8 3 2 3 -1 11
8 Midtjylland 9 2 4 3 +0 10
9 Brondby 9 3 1 5 -5 10
10 Odense 9 3 1 5 -7 10
11 Aalborg 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Lyngby 9 0 3 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Silkeborg Aarhus
2′
🟨 Nicolai Poulsen
1–0 S. Jørgensen
K. Kusk
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Kevin Yakob
↦ N. Poulsen
Oliver Sonne 🟨
55′
S. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ K. Kusk
64′
T. Adamsen 🔁
↦ N. Helenius
64′
64′
🔁 S. Grønning
↦ P. Mortensen
64′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ T. Mølgaard
L. Klitten 🔁
↦ L. Engel
67′
81′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ M. Anderson
81′
🔁 J. Duin
↦ S. Haugen
M. Kaalund 🔁
↦ S. Jørgensen
87′
P. Mattsson 🔁
↦ M. Brink
87′
Nicolai Larsen 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Silkeborg

4-3-3
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
20 T. Salquist D
28 A. Calisir D
29 L. Engel D
8 S. Þórðarson M
14 M. Brink M
21 A. Klynge M
27 S. Jørgensen F
11 N. Helenius F
7 K. Kusk F
Bench (8)
10 S. Tengstedt
23 T. Adamsen
25 L. Klitten
17 M. Kaalund
6 P. Mattsson
16 O. Hedvall
3 R. Østrøm
24 A. Oggesen

Coach: K. Nielsen

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
19 E. Kahl M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
17 Kevin Yakob
27 S. Grønning
26 A. D'Alberto
29 F. Brandhof
18 J. Duin
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
13 A. Munksgaard
37 S. Hausner
11 G. Links

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorgen Daugbjerg Burchardt · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.