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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Sulikowski
1–4
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radunia Stężyca Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kalisz 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Motor Lublin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Legia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Pogoń Siedlce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Radunia Stężyca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Lechia Zielona Góra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Górnik Łęczna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.