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Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk
T U U S S
3–1
Full-time
Legia
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
43%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 5. · Legia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 10 6 3 1 +16 21
2 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 4 1 +8 19
3 Rakow 9 5 3 1 +6 18
4 Slask Wroclaw 10 4 5 1 +2 17
5 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 4 1 +7 16
6 Jagiellonia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Zaglebie 9 5 0 4 -2 15
8 Gornik Zabrze 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Piast Gliwice 10 4 1 5 -1 13
10 Cracovia 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Radomiak Radom 10 2 6 2 +1 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 -5 12
13 Wisla 10 3 2 5 -3 11
14 Wisla Plock 10 3 1 6 +0 10
15 Legia 7 3 0 4 +0 9
16 Nieciecza 9 1 4 4 -3 7
17 Warta Poznan 10 1 4 5 -5 7
18 Leczna 10 1 2 7 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.