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Puchar Polski
Referee: L Kuźma
3–4
Full-time
Cracovia
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Górnik Łęczna Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,2
Scored
0,6
0,7
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Stal Brzeg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Carina Gubin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Legia Warszawa II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
25 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
26 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
28 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Górnik Łęczna Cracovia
23′
🟨 T. Oshima
36′
🟨 P. Jaroszynski
P. Zyra 🟨
37′
45′
⚽ S. Cissé 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
P. Starzynski 🟨
47′
1–1 B. Källman ⚽
own goal
51′
53′
⚽ T. Woźniak 2–1
own goal
56′
⚽ T. Oshima 2–2
58′
⚽ J. Atanasov 2–3
3–3 A. Deja ⚽
60′
F. Janaszek 🔁
↦ P. Starzyński
64′
64′
🔁 B. Kolec
↦ K. Śmiglewski
64′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ K. Knap
78′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ B. Källman
M. Grabowski 🔁
↦ D. Dziwniel
80′
L. Klemenz 🟨
82′
M. Pawlik 🔁
↦ D. Gąska
83′
84′
🔁 A. Hoskonen
↦ J. Jugas
4–3 E. Kryeziu ⚽
89′
92′
🟨 C. Rapa
95′
🟨 S. Madejski
96′
🟨 P. Makuch
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Górnik Łęczna

T. Woźniak
D. Zbozień
D. Dziwniel
L. Klemenz
S. Cissé
A. Deja
D. Gąska
P. Żyra
E. Kryeziu
P. Starzyński
K. Podliński
Bench (9)
F. Janaszek
M. Grabowski
M. Pawlik
J. Bednarczyk
Jonathan de Amo
K. Turek
K. Łukasiak
M. Gostomski
M. Steszuk

Coach: I. Mamrot

Cracovia

S. Madejski
K. Glik
C. Râpă
J. Jugas
P. Jaroszyński
V. Ghiță
J. Atanasov
K. Knap
T. Oshima
B. Källman
K. Śmiglewski
Bench (9)
B. Kolec
P. Makuch
M. Bochnak
A. Hoskonen
A. Skovgaard
A. Wilk
K. Jodłowski
P. Zaucha
S. Doba

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

L Kuźma · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.