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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Wojciech Myc

Nieciecza

T U S T U

1–3

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nieciecza Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nieciecza 5. · Korona Kielce 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.2	16
2	Gornik Zabrze	6	4	0	2	+6	-0.2	12
3	Cracovia	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.5	11
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+1	-2.5	9
5	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.2	8
6	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	+1	-0.1	8
7	Korona Kielce	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.1	8
8	Arka Gdynia	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.8	8
9	Legia	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.6	7
10	Widzew Lodz	6	2	1	3	+1	+2.2	7
11	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	-1	+3.4	7
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-4	+2.0	7
13	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-5	-5.4	7
14	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
15	Zaglebie	5	1	2	2	+2	+0.7	5
16	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.0	5
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-5	-4.3	5
18	Piast Gliwice	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.2	12
2	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.2	7
3	GKS Katowice	4	2	1	1	+3	-3.0	7
4	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
5	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.6	7
6	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
7	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.0	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
10	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
11	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
12	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
14	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.7	4
15	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
16	Nieciecza	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
18	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.5	7
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.7	6
3	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.8	6
4	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
5	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
6	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-4	+1.6	4
7	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
8	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
9	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.2	2
11	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
12	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
13	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1
15	Motor Lublin	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.9	1
16	Arka Gdynia	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.0	1
17	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.