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Puchar Polski

Górnik Zabrze II

3–4

Full-time

Olimpia Grudziądz

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Nieciecza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Polonia Środa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Kluczevia Stargard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Luzino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Kluczbork	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Wisła Płock II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Legia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Polonia Środa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Kluczevia Stargard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Luzino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Kluczbork	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Wisła Płock II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nieciecza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Legia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Górnik Zabrze II Olimpia Grudziądz

I. Kowalik 🟨

5′

13′

⚽ M. Wichtowski 0–1

19′

⚽ K. Cichon 0–2

1–2 L. Podolski ⚽

24′

Half-time 1–2

M. Posmyk 🔁

↦ B. Mikolajczyk

46′

🔁 P. Stolc

↦ B. Zbiciak

46′

🔁 D. Olejarka

↦ S. Michalski

46′

🔁 D. Jastrzembski

↦ F. Nowacki

A. Griksa 🟨

51′

2–2 J. Pietrzyk ⚽

53′

I. Przetak 🔁

↦ J. Pietrzyk

60′

63′

🔁 B. Brzek

↦ F. Wilak

68′

⚽ W. Szafranek 2–3

D. Olejarka

77′

🟨 I. Tsyupa

J. Albert 🔁

↦ L. Podolski

79′

R. Kocot 🔁

↦ J. Sieracki

79′

🔁 D. Baldyga

↦ K. Cichon

3–3 M. Posmyk ⚽

84′

S. Gorniak 🟨

86′

87′

🟨 W. Szafranek

A. Papierniak 🔁

↦ i. Swierkowski

89′

90′

⚽ K. Jarzec 3–4

Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Górnik Zabrze II

W. Kania

14 A. Griksa

21 S. Gorniak

66 L. Dudek

20 J. Sieracki

8 J. Pietrzyk

19 B. Mikolajczyk

2 I. Kowalik

10 L. Podolski

7 I. Nolewajka

28 i. Swierkowski

Bench (8)

1 I. Szymajda

26 I. Przetak

33 A. Papierniak

18 A. Voskresenskyi

15 J. Albert

9 M. Posmyk

34 R. Kocot

64 S. Szpejcher

Olimpia Grudziądz

1 M. Jerke

5 M. Wichtowski

3 S. Michalski

25 B. Zbiciak

93 I. Tsyupa

70 F. Nowacki

16 K. Fietz

10 K. Cichon

18 K. Jarzec

29 W. Szafranek

11 F. Wilak

Bench (8)

99 J. Pawlak

14 B. Brzek

32 P. Stolc

19 J. Stec

7 D. Olejarka

20 A. Kolasa

22 D. Jastrzembski

9 D. Baldyga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Górnik Zabrze II

Olimpia Grudziądz

Odds comparison

Recent matches