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Championship

Referee: Oliver Langford

Millwall

U S S S T

0–3

Full-time

Wrexham

U T U U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Wrexham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Shots 9

0 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 2

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 9. · Wrexham 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.4	10
2	Charlton	3	3	0	0	+3	-2.8	9
3	Southampton	4	2	1	1	+5	+4.6	7
4	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.9	7
5	QPR	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.0	7
6	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+1	-4.2	7
7	Middlesbrough	3	2	0	1	+2	+3.4	6
8	West Brom	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.9	6
9	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.3	6
10	Sheffield United	4	1	3	0	+1	-0.5	6
11	Birmingham	4	1	3	0	+1	+1.2	6
12	West Ham	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.5	5
13	Blackburn	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
14	Watford	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
15	Bolton	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
16	Derby	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.6	4
17	Lincoln	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.1	4
18	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.8	3
19	Norwich	4	1	0	3	-2	+0.4	3
20	Portsmouth	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
21	Stoke	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.2	3
22	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
23	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.4	1
24	Preston	4	0	0	4	-6	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.9	6
3	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
4	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
5	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
6	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
7	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
8	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
9	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
10	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
11	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
12	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
13	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
14	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
15	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.6	3
16	Birmingham	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
17	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
18	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
19	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
20	Wrexham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
21	Lincoln	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
22	Derby	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.7	1
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
24	Portsmouth	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
2	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.3	6
3	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
5	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
6	Derby	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
7	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-2.2	3
8	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
9	Lincoln	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.2	3
10	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
11	Millwall	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
12	West Ham	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
13	Blackburn	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
14	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
16	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
17	Bolton	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
18	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
19	Watford	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
20	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
21	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
22	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
23	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
24	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -26 Wrexham – Millwall 0–2 30. Aug -25 Millwall – Wrexham 0–2

Match report

Millwall Wrexham

C. De Norre 🟨

18′

28′

⚽ Z. Sturge 1–0

own goal

36′

🟨 B. Whiteman

C. Neghli 🔁

↦ C. De Norre

43′

Half-time 1–1

52′

⚽ K. Moore 1–1

J. Windass

L. Dykes 🟨

56′

Z. Lovelace 🔁

↦ J. Coburn

63′

D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁

↦ E. Baggott

64′

67′

🔁 O. Rathbone

↦ J. Windass

67′

🔁 D. Imray

↦ I. Kabore

69′

⚽ J. Ekomie 1–2

D. Imray

73′

🔁 S. Smith

↦ K. Moore

J. Osei-Tutu 🔁

↦ J. Metcalfe

74′

A. Massey 🔁

↦ D. Kelly

74′

76′

🔁 R. Longman

↦ J. Ekomie

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Millwall

3-1-4-2

M. Crocombe G

C. Taylor D

J. Cooper D

E. Baggott D

C. De Norre M

M. Sykes M

D. Kelly M

J. Metcalfe M

Z. Sturge M

J. Coburn F

L. Dykes F

Bench (9)

43 J. Coleman

23 D. Batth

2 J. Osei-Tutu

55 T. Parkes

49 D. Mazou-Sacko

44 A. Massey

51 S. T. Vieira

10 C. Neghli

29 Z. Lovelace

Coach: Alex Neil

Wrexham

3-4-2-1

A. Patterson G

M. Cleworth D

D. Hyam D

C. Doyle D

I. Kabore M

M. James M

B. Whiteman M

J. Ekomie M

J. Windass F

L. O'Brien F

K. Moore F

Bench (9)

21 D. Ward

26 Z. Vyner

6 J. Worrall

30 D. Imray

47 R. Longman

20 O. Rathbone

17 C. O'Hare

11 B. Cadamarteri

28 S. Smith

Coach: Phil Parkinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,24

🔒

Pinnacle 2,35 Betano 2,32 Dafabet 2,28 Superbet 2,27 Betfair 2,25 Marathonbet 2,25 William Hill 2,25 SBO 2,23 10Bet 2,20 1xBet 2,20 Bet365 2,20 BetVictor 2,20 Unibet 2,15

3,35

🔒

Betano 3,50 Pinnacle 3,44 Betfair 3,40 BetVictor 3,40 Unibet 3,35 Dafabet 3,35 10Bet 3,30 1xBet 3,30 Superbet 3,30 Marathonbet 3,28 Bet365 3,25 William Hill 3,25 SBO 3,08

B ✓

3,15

🔒

Bet365 3,30 Dafabet 3,30 Betano 3,25 Unibet 3,25 Superbet 3,25 1xBet 3,22 Betfair 3,20 BetVictor 3,20 Pinnacle 3,16 10Bet 3,15 Marathonbet 3,10 William Hill 3,10 SBO 2,97

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,30

🔒