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Super League

Referee: A Kanagasingam

Luzern

T T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Vaduz

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Vaduz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

5,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,8

5,2

Scored

1,0

2,4

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,42 xG 1,10

43% Possession 57%

23 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 9. · Vaduz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+12	+4.5	14
2	Lugano	4	4	0	0	+10	+1.6	12
3	Basel	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
4	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	+4.2	7
5	Sion	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.1	6
6	Thun	4	2	0	2	-5	-5.7	6
7	Zurich	6	2	0	4	-7	-1.6	6
8	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.5	5
9	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.1	5
10	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
11	Vaduz	5	1	0	4	-2	-3.4	3
12	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Sion	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
4	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	+4.0	4
5	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
6	Vaduz	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.8	3
7	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
10	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.0	7
2	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
3	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.9	6
4	Thun	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.9	6
5	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
9	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.