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Puchar Polski
0–2
Full-time
Ruch Chorzow
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Zielona Góra Ruch Chorzow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Olimpia Grudziądz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Śląsk Wrocław II 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Górnik Łęczna 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Nieciecza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Polonia Środa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 -1 3
23 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Górnik Zabrze II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Luzino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Wisla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Kluczbork 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Wisła Płock II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Legia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Zielona Góra Ruch Chorzow
3′
A. Komor 0–1
35′
🔁 M. Pawlowski
↦ D. Szczepan
41′
M. Chrapek 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. Debski 🔁
↦ K. Olek
61′
M. Lisowski 🔁
↦ D. Wiecek
61′
65′
🔁 S. Nagamatsu
↦ M. Chrapek
65′
🔁 P. Szwedzik
↦ K. Laskowski
71′
🟨 A. del Moral
W. Nahrebecki 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 P. Szwedzik
M. Kurek 🔁
↦ M. Zientarski
83′
J. Bursztyn 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 K. Rostek
M. Szpakowski 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 K. Rostek
91′
🟥 K. Rostek
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

26 J. Bursztyn
33 P. Flis
3 R. Ostrowski
6 G. Embalo
21 M. Zientarski
8 W. Nahrebecki
18 M. Szpakowski
24 M. Szmigiel
75 D. Wiecek
9 K. Olek
7 P. Bargiel
Bench (9)
5 F. Majchrzak
10 P. Mycan
12 D. Slobodzian
16 M. Szostak
17 D. Debski
19 M. Kurek
23 L. Lasota
25 M. Balaj
77 M. Lisowski

Coach: Sebastian Mordal

Ruch Chorzow

44 J. Wrabel
15 M. Konczkowski
28 N. Lesniak-Paduch
24 A. Komor
3 A. del Moral
5 M. Rosol
7 J. Kristan
88 K. Rostek
6 M. Chrapek
27 K. Laskowski
95 D. Szczepan
Bench (9)
1 M. Potoczny
9 M. Pawlowski
11 S. Cieslak
14 F. Wojcik
17 A. Lukic
18 S. Nagamatsu
21 P. Szwedzik
22 K. Lipinski
26 M. Bak

Coach: Waldemar Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.