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Bundesliga

Referee: Jakob Semler

Salzburg

U S S S S

5–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

75%

100%

Points per game

2,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

2,3

3,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 3. · SK Rapid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	5	5	0	0	+13	+8.6	15
2	SK Rapid	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.6	12
3	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+7	+7.5	10
4	Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	+1	+2.4	8
5	Tirol	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.7	7
6	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	-4.3	6
7	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	2	2	+0	-4.1	5
8	A. Lustenau	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
9	Ried	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.6	4
10	Grazer AK	5	1	1	3	-11	-3.3	4
11	Altach	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.6	3
12	Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	-7	-6.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.3	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.4	9
3	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.2	6
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.4	4
5	Grazer AK	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.9	4
6	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
7	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.2	4
8	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
9	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Hartberg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
11	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
12	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
2	Tirol	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.5	6
3	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.2	4
4	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.1	4
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.9	3
7	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.9	3
8	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
9	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.8	1
10	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
11	Altach	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.1	0
12	Grazer AK	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.