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Referee: Fotios Polychronis

T T U U T

1–2

Full-time

U S S S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volos NFC AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

0%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,8

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,5

xG conceded Pro

This season — Super League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

0%

60%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

25%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

2,5

3,6

Scored

0,8

3,2

Conceded

1,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,8

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Volos NFC 13. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	0	+9	+1.8	12
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.2	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+14	+4.1	11
4	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+2	+5.0	10
5	OFI Crete	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.4	9
6	Panetolikos	4	3	0	1	+3	+0.8	9
7	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.4	7
8	Iraklis	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.4	6
9	Aris	4	2	0	2	-5	–	6
10	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	+1.1	5
11	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.5	4
12	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	-3.4	2
13	Volos NFC	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
14	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.2	1
15	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-9	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	PAOK	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.6	9
3	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.7	9
4	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
5	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
6	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
7	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Kalamata	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
9	Olympiakos	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
11	Kifisia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
12	Iraklis	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Atromitos	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
15	Levadeiakos	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.1	7
2	Iraklis	4	1	2	1	-2	-2.4	5
3	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.4	3
5	PAOK	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
6	Panetolikos	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
7	Kifisia	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
8	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.8	3
9	Aris	3	1	0	2	-6	–	3
10	AEK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
11	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
13	Levadeiakos	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.6	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
15	Volos NFC	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -26 Volos NFC – AEK 2–2 28. Sep -25 AEK – Volos NFC 1–0 5. Jan -25 Volos NFC – AEK 2–4 16. Sep -24 AEK – Volos NFC 2–0 3. Jan -24 AEK – Volos NFC 3–0

Match report

Volos NFC AEK

6′

🟨 Petros Mantalos

Lazaros Lamprou 🔁

↦ Jorge Samuel Figueiredo Fernandes

12′

15′

🟨 Milan Vitális

Hamza Mendyl 🟨

29′

Gustavo Furtado ℹ️

VAR: Goal cancelled

44′

45′

🔁 Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador

↦ Milan Vitális

Half-time 0–0

59′

🔁 João Mário

↦ Petros Mantalos

Yvan Neyou Noupa 🔁

↦ Dženis Burnić

59′

61′

⚽ Luka Jovic 0–1

Francesc Regis 🔁

↦ Stefanos Katsikas

74′

Vasileios Grosdis 🔁

↦ Maximiliano Comba

74′

Giorgos Charalampoglou 🔁

↦ Matías Nahuel González

74′

79′

🟨 Luka Jovic

Gustavo Furtado 🟨

79′

83′

🔁 Kervin Arriaga

↦ Aboubakary Koita

1–1 Giorgos Charalampoglou ⚽

85′

88′

⚽ Luka Jovic 1–2

João Mário

91′

🔁 Oleksandr Zubkov

↦ Lovro Majer

91′

🔁 Dereck Kutesa

↦ Luka Jovic

92′

🟨 M. Nikolić

Giorgos Migas ℹ️

VAR: Card upgrade confirmed

94′

Giorgos Migas 🟥

94′

Hamza Mendyl 🟥

96′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Volos NFC

4-2-3-1

12

Y. Lodygin G

22

G. Migas D

99

D. Agyakwa D

4

G. Kargas D

37

H. Mendyl D

8

M. Comba M

28

S. Katsikas M

10

Joca M

21

M. González M

27

D. Burnić M

11

Gustavo Furtado F

Bench (10)

30 A. Garavelas

15 H. Essaoubi

49 G. Charalampoglou

17 V. Grosdis

7 L. Lamprou

91 Y. Neyou

82 Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas

89 F. Refatllari

20 Xesc Regis

72 E. Tasiouras

Coach: K. Bratsos

AEK

4-4-2

91

A. Brignoli G

8

M. Gaćinović D

2

H. Moukoudi D

44

Filipe Relvas D

3

S. Pilios D

14

L. Majer M

27

M. Vitális M

18

R. Marin M

20

P. Mantalos M

11

A. Koita F

9

L. Jović F

Bench (12)

16 K. Arriaga

41 Marios Balamotis

90 Zini

57 Spyros Christakopoulos

17 Dimitrios Kaloskamis

6 K. Kairinen

10 O. Zubkov

21 D. Vida

15 M. Todorski

23 João Mário

22 C. Lykogiannis

7 D. Kutesa

Coach: M. Nikolić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

9,50

🔒

BetVictor 10,50 Bet365 10,00 Pinnacle 9,81 Marathonbet 9,60 1xBet 9,50 Betfair 9,50 Betano 9,25 William Hill 9,00 SBO 7,91

U

5,40

🔒

Pinnacle 5,74 BetVictor 5,50 1xBet 5,45 Marathonbet 5,45 Betano 5,40 Bet365 5,25 SBO 5,03 Betfair 5,00 William Hill 5,00

B ✓

1,29

🔒

Betano 1,32 Bet365 1,30 Pinnacle 1,30 Betfair 1,29 William Hill 1,29 1xBet 1,28 Marathonbet 1,27 SBO 1,26 BetVictor 1,25

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,17

🔒

U1,5

4,89

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,57

🔒

U2,5

2,35

🔒

O3,5

2,38

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,53

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,93

🔒

BLS nei

1,78

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep SL 1 week ago

5. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

29. Aug SL 3 weeks ago

23. Aug SL 4 weeks ago

17. May SL 4 months ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.