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Premier League

Referee: Peter Bankes

Fulham

S T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Man United

S U S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 29

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 13

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 13

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 20. · Man United 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+8	+3.1	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	+2.4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+11	+2.0	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	+3.5	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	+4	+0.8	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	+0.9	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	-1.2	9
8	Hull	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.4	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	+2.4	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	-4	-1.4	6
12	Nott'm Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	+0.7	5
13	Man United	4	1	1	2	+0	+3.4	4
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.1	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.7	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.2	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.3	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	-1.1	3
19	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	-6	-2.9	2
20	Fulham	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.5	7
3	Brentford	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.3	7
4	Everton	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.8	7
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
6	Leeds	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.0	5
7	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.4	5
8	Hull	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.8	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
10	Man United	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.5	3
11	Ipswich	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.1	3
12	Sunderland	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.1	3
13	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
14	Bournemouth	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.3	2
15	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.2	1
16	Tottenham	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
17	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.9	0
18	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.7	0
19	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.5	0
20	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-6	+0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.4	7
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.5	6
3	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.7	6
4	Nott'm Forest	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
5	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
6	Hull	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
7	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
8	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	-3	-3.5	4
9	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+4	-1.5	3
10	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
11	Ipswich	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.5	3
12	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.9	3
13	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.7	3
14	Brentford	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
15	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
16	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
17	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
18	Man United	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
19	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
20	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.