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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Valencia
T T T T S
2–3
Full-time
Sociedad
S U S T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valencia 19. · Sociedad 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 +24 +14.3 21
2 Ath Madrid 7 5 1 1 +9 +3.3 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 +2 +0.3 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 +10 +10.4 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 +1 -0.6 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 +5 +3.1 11
7 La Coruna 7 2 4 1 +2 -1.6 10
8 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 +1 +0.6 8
9 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 +1 -1.1 8
10 Getafe 7 2 2 3 -3 -3.2 8
11 Vallecano 7 2 2 3 -5 -5.0 8
12 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 -7 -0.6 8
13 Celta 7 1 4 2 +2 -2.6 7
14 Espanol 7 2 1 4 +0 -1.5 7
15 Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -5 -3.2 7
16 Santander 7 2 1 4 -10 -2.8 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.0 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 -6 -6.3 5
19 Valencia 6 1 1 4 -8 -0.1 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 -9 -3.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -26 Sociedad – Valencia 3–4 16. Aug -25 Valencia – Sociedad 1–1 19. Jan -25 Valencia – Sociedad 1–0 28. Sep -24 Sociedad – Valencia 3–0 16. May -24 Sociedad – Valencia 1–0

Match report

Valencia Sociedad
Justin De Haas 🟨
11′
José Gayà 🟨
12′
26′
⚽ Luka Sučić 0–1
Job Ochieng
David Otorbi Ejededawe 🔁
↦ Filip Ugrinic
45′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Luka Sučić
1–1 Aaron Mayol ⚽
Hugo Duro
57′
61′
🔁 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
61′
🔁 Ander Barrenetxea
↦ Job Ochieng
69′
🔁 Yangel Herrera
↦ Jon Gorrotxategi
69′
🔁 Aihen Muñoz
↦ Sergio Gómez
Harvey Elliott 🔁
↦ Guido Rodríguez
69′
75′
⚽ Carlos Soler 1–2
Jesús Vázquez 🔁
↦ José Gayà
82′
Aimar Blázquez Labraca 🔁
↦ Hugo Duro
82′
1–3 Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta ⚽
own goal
84′
87′
🔁 Arsen Zakharyan
↦ Luka Sučić
Luis Rioja 🔁
↦ Arnaut Danjuma
88′
91′
⚽ Ander Barrenetxea 1–4
Carlos Soler
96′
🟨 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
96′
🟥 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski G
24 Pablo Maffeo D
18 Pepelu D
12 J. de Haas D
14 José Gayà D
33 Aaron Mayol M
23 F. Ugrinic M
2 G. Rodríguez M
7 A. Danjuma M
8 Javi Guerra F
9 Hugo Duro F
Bench (12)
36 Iker Córdoba
15 A. Dieng
10 H. Elliott
22 Arnau Martínez
27 David Otorbi
29 Alex Panach
19 Dani Raba
11 Luis Rioja
39 R. Sato
21 Jesús Vázquez
25 K. van Oevelen
37 Aimar Blázquez

Coach: Óscar Sánchez

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
34 Luken Beitia D
6 Jon Martín D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 Gonçalo Guedes M
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M
18 Carlos Soler M
12 J. Ochieng M
24 L. Sučić F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
7 Barrenetxea
22 Héctor Fort
21 Y. Herrera
14 T. Kubo
29 Alex Garcia
13 Unai Marrero
3 Aihen Muñoz
16 Jon Pacheco
19 M. Sarr
8 Beñat Turrientes
23 A. Zakharyan
9 O. Óskarsson

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,29
🔒
U1,5
3,45
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
U2,5
1,91
🔒
O3,5 ✓
3,25
🔒
U3,5
1,33
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,70
🔒
BLS nei
2,05
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.