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LaLiga2

Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez

Almeria

S T T S S

2–0

Full-time

Celta B

U S T S T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Celta B

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 37%

33%

40%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 9. · Celta B 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	6	5	1	0	+10	+0.4	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	+8	+1.4	15
3	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	+6	+2.5	13
4	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.5	11
5	Girona	6	3	1	2	+4	+0.9	10
6	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	+1	-1.8	10
7	Sp Gijon	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.0	10
8	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.8	10
9	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+4	-1.3	9
10	Burgos	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.8	8
11	Sociedad B	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.0	8
12	Granada	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.1	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+1	+3.1	8
14	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+0	-2.0	8
15	Celta B	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.2	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	-4	+1.0	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.9	5
18	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.6	5
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-3	+2.4	3
20	Andorra	6	1	0	5	-4	+4.6	3
21	Albacete	6	0	1	5	-6	+0.4	1
22	Ceuta	6	0	1	5	-13	-5.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.5	9
2	Sabadell	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.1	9
3	Castellon	3	2	1	0	+7	-1.2	7
4	Burgos	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
5	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.0	6
7	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
8	Girona	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.4	4
9	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
10	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.0	4
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
13	Andorra	4	1	0	3	-1	+3.4	3
14	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
15	Celta B	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
16	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.3	3
17	Eldense	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
18	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
19	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.1	2
20	Sociedad B	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
21	Ceuta	3	0	1	2	-4	–	1
22	Albacete	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.7	9
2	Castellon	3	3	0	0	+3	+1.6	9
3	Sociedad B	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.4	7
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
5	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.4	6
6	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
7	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
8	Leganes	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.6	5
9	Celta B	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
10	Granada	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.1	4
11	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
12	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.0	4
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
14	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
15	Eldense	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.6	3
16	Sabadell	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.4	2
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.6	2
18	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
19	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
20	Albacete	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
21	Andorra	2	0	0	2	-3	+1.2	0
22	Ceuta	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.