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Championship

Referee: Tom Nield

Norwich

T S S T T

3–4

Full-time

Bolton

T T T T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Bolton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

86%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

8 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 15. · Bolton 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	+7	+1.2	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	+11	+1.2	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+4	+3.2	15
4	Southampton	8	4	2	2	+9	+3.3	14
5	Wolves	7	4	2	1	+5	+4.5	14
6	West Brom	8	4	2	2	+2	-2.8	14
7	QPR	8	3	4	1	+3	+2.6	13
8	Stoke	8	4	1	3	+1	-3.8	13
9	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	-1	-3.2	13
10	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	-5.0	12
11	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	+1	+1.3	11
12	Millwall	8	3	2	3	+0	+2.5	11
13	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.6	11
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	+1.4	10
15	Norwich	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.3	9
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	+0	-2.1	9
17	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.7	9
18	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.2	8
19	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	-2.6	8
20	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	-2	+3.0	7
21	Bolton	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.7	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	-1.7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	+2.0	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	-0.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	4	4	0	0	+11	+3.9	12
2	Middlesbrough	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.7	10
3	West Ham	4	3	0	1	+10	+2.2	9
4	Stoke	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.6	9
5	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+4	-0.9	8
6	West Brom	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.4	8
7	Charlton	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.2	8
8	Millwall	4	2	1	1	+4	+1.7	7
9	Wolves	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.1	7
10	Watford	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.4	7
11	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
12	Cardiff	4	1	3	0	+2	+2.6	6
13	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.2	6
14	Bolton	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.1	6
15	Bristol City	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.6	6
16	Wrexham	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.9	5
17	QPR	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.6	5
18	Birmingham	4	0	4	0	+0	+0.0	4
19	Portsmouth	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.1	4
20	Sheffield United	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
21	Burnley	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.0	3
22	Preston	4	1	0	3	-4	+0.2	3
23	Lincoln	4	0	2	2	-3	+2.6	2
24	Derby	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.0	9
2	Lincoln	4	3	0	1	+2	-3.2	9
3	QPR	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.9	8
4	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.4	7
5	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
6	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.6	7
7	West Ham	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.0	6
8	West Brom	4	2	0	2	-1	-3.2	6
9	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
10	Sheffield United	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.2	5
11	Wrexham	4	1	2	1	-3	+0.5	5
12	Portsmouth	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
13	Derby	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.0	4
14	Millwall	4	1	1	2	-4	+0.8	4
15	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-4	-5.4	4
16	Charlton	4	1	1	2	-5	-3.8	4
17	Blackburn	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.3	3
18	Norwich	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.7	3
19	Southampton	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.6	2
20	Preston	4	0	1	3	-3	+1.8	1
21	Cardiff	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.4	1
22	Watford	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.3	1
23	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.6	1
24	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.