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Super League

Referee: Fotios Polychronis

Aris Thessalonikis

U U T U T

2–1

Full-time

Larisa

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — Super League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 18%

27%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

27%

42%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

58%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 2

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 0

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 10. · Larisa 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	AEK	12	9	1	2	+6	28
3	PAOK	11	8	2	1	+16	26
4	Levadeiakos	12	6	4	2	+15	22
5	Volos NFC	13	7	0	6	-2	21
6	Panathinaikos	11	5	4	2	+6	19
7	Aris	12	4	4	4	-2	16
8	Kifisia	13	4	3	6	-2	15
9	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Aris Thessalonikis	11	3	4	4	-3	13
11	OFI Crete	12	4	0	8	-8	12
12	Asteras Tripolis	12	1	6	5	-4	9
13	Atromitos	12	2	3	7	-5	9
14	Larisa	12	1	4	7	-11	7
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	AEK	7	6	0	1	+5	18
3	PAOK	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Levadeiakos	7	4	2	1	+13	14
5	Panathinaikos	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Aris	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	4	0	+3	7
9	Kifisia	7	2	1	4	-1	7
10	Panetolikos	5	2	0	3	+1	6
11	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	OFI Crete	7	2	0	5	-1	6
13	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-10	4
14	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	-4	2
15	Larisa	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	8	4	0	4	-2	12
2	PAOK	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	AEK	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Panetolikos	7	2	3	2	-3	9
6	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Levadeiakos	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Kifisia	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Atromitos	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Aris	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	OFI Crete	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Larisa	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Asteras Tripolis	7	0	2	5	-7	2
15	Panserraikos	7	0	2	5	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.