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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Mjondalen
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
4,0
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 8. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Egersund 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bryne 5 3 0 2 +2 9
4 Levanger 5 2 2 1 +5 8
5 Stabaek 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sogndal 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Moss 5 2 0 3 -3 6
8 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Ranheim 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Lyn 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Sandnes ULF 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Valerenga 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Asane 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Raufoss 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Aalesund 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Start 5 0 2 3 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mjondalen Aalesund
1–0 M. Olsen
18′
19′
🟨 S. Grytebust
S. Appiah 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
41′
Half-time 1–0
M. Welinder 🔁
↦ P. Vogt
46′
51′
🟨 S. Haram
65′
🔁 M. Maksimov
↦ J. Norvik
65′
🔁 A. Diop
↦ M. Ramsland
67′
I. Atanga 1–1
K. Singh 🔁
↦ M. Olsen
75′
E. Helgeland 🔁
↦ S. Øverby
75′
75′
🔁 J. Kitolano
↦ I. Atanga
85′
🔁 S. Berntsen
↦ E. Kolve
92′
🟨 J. Kitolano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mjondalen

1 T. Kinn
5 S. Øverby
3 S. Skogen
21 P. Vogt
4 R. Holten
27 K. Tokstad
19 E. Brenden
11 M. Olsen
8 O. Sveen
24 M. Pedersen
20 A. Conteh
Bench (6)
18 S. Appiah
22 M. Welinder
14 K. Singh
23 E. Helgeland
13 A. Fagereng
16 J. Dahlby

Coach: K. Nicol

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 T. Grøgaard
14 S. Haram
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
28 E. Kolve
15 S. Kilen
36 J. Norvik
18 M. Ramsland
19 I. Atanga
10 Cláudio Braga
Bench (7)
20 M. Maksimov
21 A. Diop
25 J. Kitolano
35 S. Berntsen
24 S. Midthjell
34 T. Gulbrandsen
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.