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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Cartagena
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,2
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
38%
24%
Both score Ø 37%
43%
30%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 14. · Alcorcon 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 38 20 7 11 +15 67
2 Leganes 37 17 13 7 +26 64
3 Eibar 37 18 7 12 +18 61
4 Espanol 37 15 15 7 +15 60
5 Oviedo 38 15 13 10 +14 58
6 Santander 38 16 10 12 +7 58
7 Elche 38 16 10 12 +3 58
8 Sp Gijon 37 15 10 12 +5 55
9 Levante 38 13 16 9 +4 55
10 Ferrol 37 14 12 11 -1 54
11 Burgos 37 15 9 13 -2 54
12 Tenerife 37 13 10 14 -3 49
13 Zaragoza 37 11 13 13 +1 46
14 Cartagena 37 12 9 16 -11 45
15 Mirandes 38 11 11 16 -8 44
16 Eldense 37 10 13 14 -10 43
17 Huesca 38 9 15 14 +1 42
18 Albacete 37 10 12 15 -8 42
19 Alcorcon 37 10 11 16 -19 41
20 Villarreal B 38 10 9 19 -19 39
21 Amorebieta 37 9 11 17 -13 38
22 Andorra 37 9 10 18 -15 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Alcorcon
Damián Musto 🟨
24′
29′
🟨 Chema
1–0 Jairo Izquierdo
Luis Muñoz
34′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Marciano Sanca
Diego Moreno 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
66′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ D. Musto
66′
Darío Poveda 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
66′
73′
🔁 Dyego Sousa
↦ Chiki
73′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ Juanma Bravo
73′
🔁 Xavi Quintillà
↦ Iago López
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
76′
85′
🔁 Javi Lara
↦ Y. Eteki
Gonzalo Verdú 🔁
↦ Andy Rodríguez
87′
91′
🟨 Emmanuel Addai
94′
🟨 Xavier Quintilla
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
13 Raúl Lizoain G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
14 José Fontán D
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
23 T. Alarcón M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
8 Luis Muñoz M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
2 Diego Moreno
17 Mikel Rico
10 Darío Poveda
12 J. Narváez
5 Gonzalo Verdú
35 Iván Ayllón
33 Arnau Solà
1 Tomás Mejías
26 Arnau Ortiz
48 Jhafets Christ
32 Jony Álamo
11 Juan Carlos Real

Coach: Julián Calero

Alcorcon

4-4-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
17 Víctor García D
4 Óscar Rivas D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
20 Iago López D
8 Jacobo González M
16 Javi Pérez M
18 Y. Eteki M
10 Juanma Bravo M
33 Marciano Sanca F
9 Chiki F
Bench (12)
26 E. Addai
11 Dyego Sousa
14 Fede Vico
19 Xavi Quintillà
15 Javi Lara
22 Juan Artola
6 J. Babin
21 Koldo Obieta
29 Èric Callis
5 Pedro Mosquera
2 Javi Castro
13 Lucas Anacker

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,01
B
3,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,66
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.