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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Motherwell
T U S U T
4–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 18%
24%
12%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
65%
41%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 25 6 3 +55 81
2 Rangers 34 25 3 6 +50 78
3 Hearts 34 19 6 9 +12 63
4 Kilmarnock 34 13 13 8 +9 52
5 St Mirren 34 12 7 15 -6 43
6 Hibernian 34 10 12 12 -5 42
7 Dundee 34 10 11 13 -11 41
8 Aberdeen 34 9 11 14 -13 38
9 Motherwell 34 8 13 13 -6 37
10 ST Johnstone 34 7 10 17 -24 31
11 Ross County 34 7 9 18 -26 30
12 Livingston 34 4 9 21 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
Georgie Gent ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
19′
1–0 T. Bair
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Yengi
↦ J. Holt
2–0 S. Nicholson
S. O'Donnell
47′
61′
🔁 J. Nouble
↦ D. Mackay
61′
🔁 S. Bradley
↦ A. Obileye
H. Paton 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
67′
D. Zdravkovski 🔁
↦ S. Nicholson
67′
3–0 T. Bair
G. Gent
68′
Lennon Miller 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ B. Anderson
4–0 D. Casey
B. Spittal
74′
77′
J. Nouble 4–1
S. Kelly
E. Moses 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
84′
Davor Zdravkovski 🟨
85′
L. Ross 🔁
↦ G. Gent
92′
C. Butcher 🔁
↦ D. Casey
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
16 P. McGinn D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
11 A. Halliday M
38 L. Miller M
3 G. Gent M
7 B. Spittal F
19 S. Nicholson F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
12 H. Paton
17 D. Zdravkovski
24 E. Moses
39 L. Ross
66 C. Butcher
13 A. Oxborough
5 B. Mugabi
18 O. Shaw
30 M. Ferrie

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Livingston

4-1-4-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
5 M. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
12 J. Brandon M
11 D. Mackay M
18 J. Holt M
10 S. Kelly M
8 S. Pittman M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
33 T. Yengi
19 J. Nouble
16 S. Bradley
22 A. Shinnie
4 D. Carson
23 K. Wright
20 M. Sangare
28 K. Guthrie
3 C. Montaño

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,81
B
5,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.