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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: S Sletner

Aalesund

S S T T T

1–4

Full-time

Raufoss

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Raufoss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 12. · Raufoss 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sogndal	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Levanger	4	2	1	1	+5	7
3	Egersund	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Stabaek	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Kongsvinger	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Bryne	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Moss	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Valerenga	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Lyn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sandnes ULF	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Asane	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Mjondalen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Raufoss	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ranheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Asane	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Mjondalen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Lyn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Valerenga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Start	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Raufoss	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stabaek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Egersund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Levanger	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sogndal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Asane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Start	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sandnes ULF	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Raufoss	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Moss	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.