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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Santander
S T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Elche
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 42%
41%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
51%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
57%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
15 Shots 26
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 11
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 7. · Elche 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 38 20 7 11 +15 67
2 Leganes 37 17 13 7 +26 64
3 Eibar 37 18 7 12 +18 61
4 Espanol 37 15 15 7 +15 60
5 Oviedo 38 15 13 10 +14 58
6 Elche 37 16 10 11 +5 58
7 Santander 37 15 10 12 +5 55
8 Sp Gijon 37 15 10 12 +5 55
9 Levante 38 13 16 9 +4 55
10 Ferrol 37 14 12 11 -1 54
11 Burgos 37 15 9 13 -2 54
12 Tenerife 37 13 10 14 -3 49
13 Zaragoza 37 11 13 13 +1 46
14 Cartagena 37 12 9 16 -11 45
15 Mirandes 38 11 11 16 -8 44
16 Eldense 37 10 13 14 -10 43
17 Huesca 38 9 15 14 +1 42
18 Albacete 37 10 12 15 -8 42
19 Alcorcon 37 10 11 16 -19 41
20 Villarreal B 38 10 9 19 -19 39
21 Amorebieta 37 9 11 17 -13 38
22 Andorra 37 9 10 18 -15 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Elche
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza 🟥
-5′
1–0 L. Junior
Iván Morante
16′
18′
🟨 Josan
Mario Garcia 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
Peque Fernández 🔁
↦ Íñigo Sainz-Maza
46′
Saúl García 🔁
↦ Mario García
46′
Peque Fernández 🟨
50′
Dani Fernández 🟨
56′
60′
🟨 Jhegson Méndez
C. Grenier 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
65′
2–0 Peque Fernández
66′
69′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ Sergio Bermejo
69′
🔁 José Salinas
↦ Mario Gaspar
71′
Tete Morente 2–1
N. Castro
Jordi Mboula 🔁
↦ L. Junior
75′
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
84′
84′
🔁 Aleix Febas
↦ J. Méndez
87′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Josan
3–1 Jordi Mboula
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
18 Manu Hernando D
5 Germán Sánchez D
40 Mario García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
16 Iván Morante M
20 L. Junior M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
17 Peque Fernández
3 Saúl García
19 C. Grenier
8 Jordi Mboula
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
22 Juan Gutiérrez
7 Marco Sangalli
4 Pol Moreno
11 Andrés Martín
29 Jeremy Arévalo
31 Germán Fernández
12 R. Baturina

Coach: José Alberto López

Elche

3-2-4-1
13 M. Dituro G
17 Josan D
6 Pedro Bigas D
24 Sergio Carreira D
21 N. Castro M
3 J. Méndez M
9 Sergio Bermejo F
2 Mario Gaspar M
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
11 Tete Morente F
19 Mourad F
Bench (11)
7 Óscar Plano
12 José Salinas
14 Aleix Febas
8 Arnau Puigmal
23 Carlos Clerc
10 Manu Nieto
1 Miguel San Román
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
4 Diego González
35 David López
20 Cristian Salvador

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,18
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.