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Super League

Referee: G Tzovaras

Aris Thessalonikis

S T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Super League · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 40%

55%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

45%

25%

Both score Ø 39%

36%

42%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

0 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 4. · Asteras Tripolis 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	10	2	0	+14	32
2	AEK	12	8	2	2	+11	26
3	Aris	12	7	2	3	+4	23
4	Aris Thessalonikis	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Giannina	12	5	4	3	+12	19
6	PAOK	13	6	1	6	+4	19
7	OFI Crete	13	4	7	2	+2	19
8	Panathinaikos	12	5	2	5	+9	17
9	Ionikos	13	4	4	5	-4	16
10	Volos NFC	13	4	2	7	-5	14
11	Asteras Tripolis	12	3	4	5	+0	13
12	Panetolikos	13	3	2	8	-15	11
13	Lamia	12	2	4	6	-5	10
14	Atromitos	13	2	3	8	-14	9
15	Apollon	13	1	5	7	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Olympiakos	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Panathinaikos	6	4	1	1	+11	13
4	Ionikos	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Aris	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	OFI Crete	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Volos NFC	8	3	0	5	-2	9
8	Giannina	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	PAOK	6	2	1	3	+2	7
11	Atromitos	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	0	3	+1	6
13	Apollon	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Panetolikos	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Lamia	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Aris	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	PAOK	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Giannina	6	3	2	1	+10	11
6	AEK	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	OFI Crete	6	2	4	0	+3	10
8	Lamia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	4	2	-1	7
10	Panetolikos	7	2	1	4	-11	7
11	Volos NFC	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Panathinaikos	6	1	1	4	-2	4
13	Ionikos	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	-12	2
15	Apollon	7	0	2	5	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.