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Super League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Super League · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
20%
29%
Both score Ø 27%
28%
25%
Average goals
1,9
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 19 5 0 +29 62
2 PAOK 25 15 4 6 +23 49
3 AEK 25 14 3 8 +16 45
4 Giannina 26 12 6 8 +10 42
5 Aris 25 12 6 7 +6 42
6 Panathinaikos 26 12 3 11 +16 39
7 Aris Thessalonikis 24 11 6 7 +4 39
8 OFI Crete 26 8 12 6 +1 36
9 Asteras Tripolis 25 10 5 10 +2 35
10 Volos NFC 25 9 4 12 -5 31
11 Ionikos 26 7 7 12 -7 28
12 Panetolikos 26 8 4 14 -19 28
13 Lamia 26 4 7 15 -16 19
14 Atromitos 25 4 5 16 -26 17
15 Apollon 26 2 9 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.