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Referee: K Katikos

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Super League · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

0%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 14. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lamia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	OFI Crete	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Giannina	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Aris	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Kifisia	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Panetolikos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Panserraikos	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Volos NFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Aris Thessalonikis	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Atromitos	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lamia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Asteras Tripolis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Giannina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Kifisia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Volos NFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Panserraikos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Panetolikos	1	0	1	0	+0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lamia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
2	Panetolikos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Giannina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Panserraikos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	0	0	2	-2	0
6	Aris	2	0	0	2	-2	0
7	OFI Crete	1	0	0	1	-3	0
8	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-4	0
10	Kifisia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
11	Atromitos	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Jan -23 Aris Thessalonikis – Asteras Tripolis 3–0 11. Sep -22 Asteras Tripolis – Aris Thessalonikis 0–2 26. Feb -22 Asteras Tripolis – Aris Thessalonikis 0–2 5. Dec -21 Aris Thessalonikis – Asteras Tripolis 1–0 25. Apr -21 Asteras Tripolis – Aris Thessalonikis 1–1

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

1–0 Á. Zamora ⚽

Loren Morón

16′

28′

⚽ J. Bartolo 1–1

Xesc Regis

Half-time 1–1

Álvaro Zamora ℹ️

VAR: Penalty cancelled

46′

46′

ℹ️ Rubén García

VAR: Penalty cancelled

46′

🔁 V. Sourlis

↦ J. Munafo

51′

🟨 Pepe Castaño

2–1 Loren Morón ⚽

V. Darida

61′

73′

🔁 N. Kaltsas

↦ Sito

73′

🔁 David Carmona

↦ Rubén García

L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁

↦ D. Moberg Karlsson

76′

J. Menéndez 🔁

↦ Á. Zamora

76′

N. Đurasek 🔁

↦ L. Rupp

76′

80′

🟨 Nikolaos Papadopoulos

82′

🟨 Nikos Kaltsas

3–1 Fabiano ⚽

82′

83′

🔁 V. Mantzis

↦ Xesc Regis

84′

🔁 G. Christopoulos

↦ Pichu Atienza

85′

⚽ V. Mantzis 3–2

G. Christopoulos

Julián Cuesta 🟨

94′

D. Pavičić 🔁

↦ V. Darida

95′

Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1

23 Julián G

33 Martín Montoya D

4

Fabiano D

14

J. Brabec D

3 F. Ferrari D

8 C. Doukouré M

16 V. Darida M

32 D. Moberg Karlsson M

10 L. Rupp M

12

Á. Zamora M

80

Loren Morón F

Bench (9)

7 L. Christodoulopoulos

27 J. Menéndez

20 N. Đurasek

24 D. Pavičić

77 M. Panagidis

22 M. Odubajo

94 L. Choutesiotis

21 Rubén Pardo

25 A. Aidonis

Coach: A. Mantzios

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1

1

N. Papadopoulos G

2 Rubén García D

18 Pichu Atienza D

19 Pepe Castaño D

29 F. Álvarez D

8 J. Munafo M

69 O. Adefunyibomi M

11

Xesc Regis M

7

J. Bartolo M

40 Sito M

9 J. Miritello F

Bench (9)

21 V. Sourlis

20 N. Kaltsas

12 David Carmona

14 V. Mantzis

45 G. Christopoulos

3 D. Houhoumis

33 F. Sgouris

30 D. Grozdanić

87 E. Zukanović

Coach: G. Douvikas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

U

–

🔒

B

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

27. Aug SL 3 years ago

Aris Thessalonikis

20. Aug SL 3 years ago

Aris Thessalonikis

17. Aug ECL 3 years ago

Aris Thessalonikis

10. Aug ECL 3 years ago

Aris Thessalonikis

3. Aug ECL 3 years ago

Aris Thessalonikis

Referee

K Katikos · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,5 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

31,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.