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Super League
Referee: D Maloutas
1–4
Full-time
PAOK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
36%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
36%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 14 10 3 1 +15 33
2 Olympiakos 14 10 2 2 +24 32
3 Panathinaikos 14 10 1 3 +26 31
4 PAOK 14 9 3 2 +19 30
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 2 5 +4 23
6 Aris 14 7 2 5 +4 23
7 Lamia 14 5 4 5 -8 19
8 OFI Crete 16 4 6 6 -7 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 14 5 2 7 -6 17
10 Atromitos 14 3 6 5 -8 15
11 Panserraikos 14 3 4 7 -12 13
12 Kifisia 15 2 6 7 -12 12
13 Volos NFC 14 2 5 7 -12 11
14 Panetolikos 14 2 3 9 -15 9
15 Giannina 15 1 5 9 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
S. Goss 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
27′
34′
T. Murg 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Federico Álvarez 🟨
47′
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe 🟨
58′
59′
K. Despodov 0–2
M. Samatta
1–2 E. Zukanović
63′
69′
T. Murg 1–3
73′
🔁 Joan Sastre
↦ Vieirinha
73′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ M. Ozdoev
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ J. Munafo
76′
V. Mantzis 🔁
↦ J. Miritello
77′
Sito 🔁
↦ N. Zouglis
77′
81′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ G. Konstantelias
86′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
89′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ M. Samatta
90′
K. Despodov 1–4
S. Tzimas
Y. Diarra 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
91′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 F. Álvarez D
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
8 J. Munafo M
20 N. Kaltsas M
7 J. Bartolo M
77 N. Zouglis M
9 J. Miritello F
Bench (9)
4 S. Goss
6 José Luis Valiente
14 V. Mantzis
40 Sito
24 Y. Diarra
2 Rubén García
3 D. Houhoumis
70 N. Grammatikakis
18 Pichu Atienza

Coach: G. Douvikas

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
7 G. Konstantelias M
33 M. Samatta F
Bench (9)
23 Joan Sastre
8 S. Meïté
71 Brandon Thomas
95 S. Tzimas
18 Ž. Živković
15 W. Troost-Ekong
6 T. Tsingaras
88 Marcos Antônio
55 Rafa Soares

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,57
U
3,78
B ✓
1,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Maloutas · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.