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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Aalesund

S U S S T

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

32%

54%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

17 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 10. · Lillestrom 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	28	23	3	2	+44	72
2	Bodo/Glimt	28	16	6	6	+42	54
3	Rosenborg	28	15	8	5	+24	53
4	Lillestrom	28	15	5	8	+14	50
5	Valerenga	28	13	4	11	+4	43
6	Odd	28	12	5	11	-6	41
7	Tromso	28	9	12	7	-4	39
8	Sarpsborg 08	28	11	4	13	+2	37
9	Haugesund	28	10	6	12	-4	36
10	Aalesund	28	9	8	11	-14	35
11	Viking	28	9	7	12	-5	34
12	Stromsgodset	28	9	6	13	-5	33
13	Ham-Kam	28	6	13	9	-7	31
14	Sandefjord	28	6	5	17	-25	23
15	Kristiansund	28	5	6	17	-23	21
16	Jerv	28	5	4	19	-37	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	12	2	0	+24	38
2	Molde	14	11	1	2	+25	34
3	Valerenga	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Tromso	14	8	4	2	+6	28
5	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	6	1	+26	27
6	Lillestrom	14	8	2	4	+9	26
7	Stromsgodset	14	7	2	5	+9	23
8	Odd	14	7	1	6	+0	22
9	Haugesund	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	2	6	+3	20
11	Aalesund	14	5	5	4	-1	20
12	Viking	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Ham-Kam	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Kristiansund	14	4	4	6	-2	16
15	Jerv	14	4	2	8	-12	14
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	12	2	0	+19	38
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	0	5	+16	27
3	Lillestrom	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Odd	14	5	4	5	-6	19
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	2	7	-1	17
6	Rosenborg	14	3	6	5	+0	15
7	Haugesund	14	4	3	7	-6	15
8	Viking	14	4	3	7	-7	15
9	Sandefjord	14	5	0	9	-13	15
10	Aalesund	14	4	3	7	-13	15
11	Valerenga	14	4	2	8	-7	14
12	Ham-Kam	14	2	7	5	-8	13
13	Tromso	14	1	8	5	-10	11
14	Stromsgodset	14	2	4	8	-14	10
15	Kristiansund	14	1	2	11	-21	5
16	Jerv	14	1	2	11	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.