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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Lillestrom

T T S T T

0–3

Full-time

Sandefjord

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

68%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

54%

68%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,97 xG 2,40

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Sandefjord 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	28	17	7	4	+23	+15.5	58
2	Bodo/Glimt	28	16	8	4	+35	+22.1	56
3	Viking	28	15	8	5	+18	+14.8	53
4	Molde	28	14	7	7	+28	+18.5	49
5	Rosenborg	28	15	4	9	+9	+2.5	49
6	Fredrikstad	28	12	9	7	+2	+3.2	45
7	Stromsgodset	28	9	8	11	-7	-6.9	35
8	KFUM Oslo	28	8	10	10	-2	+5.1	34
9	Ham-Kam	28	8	9	11	-2	-5.9	33
10	Sarpsborg 08	28	9	6	13	-13	-5.2	33
11	Sandefjord	28	8	7	13	-7	-2.3	31
12	Kristiansund	28	7	10	11	-10	-9.9	31
13	Tromso	28	8	6	14	-11	-13.1	30
14	Haugesund	28	8	6	14	-14	-8.2	30
15	Lillestrom	28	7	3	18	-24	-8.4	24
16	Odd	28	5	8	15	-25	-21.7	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	4	1	+26	+15.2	31
2	Viking	14	9	4	1	+12	+10.5	31
3	Rosenborg	14	10	1	3	+12	+7.3	31
4	Brann	14	9	2	3	+12	+12.8	29
5	Molde	14	7	3	4	+15	+13.2	24
6	Fredrikstad	14	6	6	2	+3	+7.8	24
7	Sandefjord	14	7	2	5	+3	+3.2	23
8	Stromsgodset	14	6	4	4	+4	+6.8	22
9	Kristiansund	14	5	6	3	+0	+5.1	21
10	Tromso	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.8	16
11	Ham-Kam	14	4	4	6	+0	-3.1	16
12	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-6	+1.3	16
13	KFUM Oslo	14	2	7	5	-5	+7.7	13
14	Odd	14	3	4	7	-11	-6.4	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	14	3	3	8	-11	-0.7	12
16	Lillestrom	14	3	3	8	-11	-1.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	14	8	5	1	+11	+2.6	29
2	Molde	14	7	4	3	+13	+5.3	25
3	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+9	+6.9	25
4	Viking	14	6	4	4	+6	+4.2	22
5	KFUM Oslo	14	6	3	5	+3	-2.6	21
6	Fredrikstad	14	6	3	5	-1	-4.6	21
7	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-2	-4.5	21
8	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	-3	-4.8	18
9	Ham-Kam	14	4	5	5	-2	-2.8	17
10	Haugesund	14	3	5	6	-8	-9.5	14
11	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-12	-14.0	14
12	Stromsgodset	14	3	4	7	-11	-13.7	13
13	Lillestrom	14	4	0	10	-13	-7.4	12
14	Kristiansund	14	2	4	8	-10	-15.0	10
15	Odd	14	2	4	8	-14	-15.3	10
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-10	-5.5	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.