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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Aris Thessalonikis

U S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Super League · 27/30 matches

Win Ø 48%

56%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

33%

37%

Both score Ø 33%

26%

40%

Average goals

1,9

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	30	24	5	1	+54	77
2	Aris	28	16	6	6	+19	54
3	Panathinaikos	30	15	7	8	+14	52
4	PAOK	30	14	9	7	+21	51
5	Aris Thessalonikis	27	15	6	6	+17	51
6	AEK	29	15	6	8	+9	51
7	Asteras Tripolis	30	12	10	8	+0	46
8	Giannina	30	9	9	12	-3	36
9	Volos NFC	30	8	11	11	-9	35
10	Atromitos	30	6	12	12	-15	30
11	Lamia	30	7	9	14	-21	30
12	Apollon	30	8	5	17	-13	29
13	OFI Crete	30	6	5	19	-24	23
14	Panetolikos	30	4	10	16	-23	22
15	Larisa	30	4	8	18	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+34	44
2	PAOK	15	9	6	0	+21	33
3	Aris	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Panathinaikos	15	8	4	3	+10	28
5	Asteras Tripolis	15	8	4	3	+4	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	AEK	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	15	4	7	4	-1	19
9	Giannina	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Lamia	15	4	5	6	-7	17
12	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-8	15
13	Apollon	15	4	1	10	-9	13
14	OFI Crete	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	Larisa	15	1	6	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	AEK	15	9	2	4	+5	29
3	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Aris	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Panathinaikos	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Giannina	15	5	4	6	+0	19
7	PAOK	15	5	3	7	+0	18
8	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	6	5	-4	18
9	Volos NFC	15	4	6	5	-5	18
10	Apollon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-14	13
12	OFI Crete	15	3	2	10	-10	11
13	Larisa	15	3	2	10	-12	11
14	Atromitos	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Panetolikos	15	0	7	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.