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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 35/31 matches
Win Ø 45%
34%
55%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
34%
35%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · Aris Thessalonikis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 27 5 2 +59 86
2 PAOK 35 17 11 7 +25 62
3 AEK 34 18 7 9 +11 61
4 Aris 32 17 7 8 +17 58
5 Aris Thessalonikis 31 17 6 8 +17 57
6 Panathinaikos 35 15 9 11 +10 54
7 Asteras Tripolis 35 12 12 11 -5 48
8 Volos NFC 32 9 12 11 -7 39
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Lamia 33 8 11 14 -20 35
11 Atromitos 33 6 14 13 -16 32
12 Apollon 32 8 6 18 -14 30
13 OFI Crete 33 7 7 19 -23 28
14 Panetolikos 33 6 10 17 -23 28
15 Larisa 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Giannis Christopoulos 🟨
35′
T. Pasalidis 🔁
↦ Dani Suárez
39′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Daniel Sundgren
M. Iglesias 🔁
↦ José Luis Valiente
60′
S. Baba 🔁
↦ Sito
61′
R. Gómez 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
61′
63′
🔁 Xande Silva
↦ M. García
63′
🔁 J. Jeggo
↦ Matilla
65′
🟨 Georgios Delizisis
74′
D. Mancini 0–1
Bruno Gama
0–2 L. Rose
own goal
81′
89′
🔁 F. Bertoglio
↦ Bruno Gama
Triantafyllos Pasalidis 🟨
90′
Xesc Regis 🔁
↦ Léo Tilica
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
29 F. Álvarez D
15 Dani Suárez D
27 G. Kotsiras D
45 G. Christopoulos D
12 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
9 J. Barrales F
7 Léo Tilica F
Bench (9)
4 T. Pasalidis
17 M. Iglesias
97 S. Baba
20 R. Gómez
11 Xesc Regis
21 P. Tzimas
1 N. Papadopoulos
24 G. Kanellopoulos
2 Rubén García

Coach: M. Rastavac

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
92 L. Rose D
5 G. Delizisis D
22 C. Ganea D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
9 D. Manos F
Bench (9)
17 Xande Silva
6 J. Jeggo
18 F. Bertoglio
99 M. Siampanis
14 K. Mitroglou
44 N. Ioannou
3 A. Martinis
66 E. Sakic
40 P. Bagalianis

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.