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Championship
Referee: P Tierney
Norwich
S U S T S
0–2
Full-time
Blackburn
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
45%
55%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
59%
27%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 5. · Blackburn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 +22 47
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Watford 23 10 7 6 +8 37
4 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 -1 36
5 Norwich 22 10 5 7 +7 35
6 QPR 23 10 4 9 +0 34
7 Preston 23 9 7 7 +0 34
8 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 +4 32
9 Millwall 22 9 5 8 +1 32
10 Swansea 23 8 8 7 -2 32
11 Reading 23 10 2 11 -7 32
12 Sunderland 22 8 6 8 +5 30
13 Middlesbrough 22 8 6 8 +3 30
14 West Brom 22 7 8 7 +4 29
15 Luton 21 7 8 6 +0 29
16 Stoke 23 8 5 10 -4 29
17 Coventry 20 7 6 7 +1 27
18 Bristol City 23 7 6 10 -1 27
19 Rotherham 23 6 8 9 -6 26
20 Cardiff 23 7 5 11 -8 26
21 Hull 23 7 5 11 -14 26
22 Blackpool 23 6 6 11 -9 24
23 Wigan 22 6 6 10 -10 24
24 Huddersfield 22 5 4 13 -10 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Blackburn
4′
B. Gibson 1–0
own goal
28′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
Half-time 1–0
Kenny McLean 🟨
57′
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ Gabriel Sara
58′
L. Gibbs 🔁
↦ I. Hayden
58′
59′
🔁 S. Szmodics
↦ B. Dack
59′
🔁 S. Wharton
↦ Daniel Ayala
65′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ S. Gallagher
A. Idah 🔁
↦ D. Sinani
73′
Grant Hanley 🟨
79′
83′
🟨 Tyler Morton
86′
T. Dolan 1–1
B. Brereton
M. Núñez 🔁
↦ S. McCallum
87′
Teemu Pukki 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Thomas Kaminski
Ben Gibson 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
28 A. Gunn G
2 M. Aarons D
5 G. Hanley D
6 B. Gibson D
15 S. McCallum D
8 I. Hayden M
23 K. McLean M
21 D. Sinani M
17 Gabriel Sara M
24 J. Sargent M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
25 O. Hernández
46 L. Gibbs
11 A. Idah
26 M. Núñez
4 A. Omobamidele
10 K. Dowell
1 T. Krul

Coach: D. Smith

Blackburn

3-4-2-1
1 T. Kaminski G
4 Daniel Ayala D
5 D. Hyam D
3 H. Pickering D
11 J. Rankin-Costello M
6 T. Morton M
21 J. Buckley M
23 B. Dack M
10 T. Dolan F
22 B. Brereton F
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
8 S. Szmodics
16 S. Wharton
19 R. Hedges
15 C. Mola
14 G. Hirst
27 L. Travis
13 A. Pears

Coach: J. Tomasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U
3,65
B ✓
4,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.