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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Mirandes
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 17. · Ponferradina 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 20 10 6 4 +7 36
2 Las Palmas 20 9 8 3 +11 35
3 Levante 20 9 8 3 +9 35
4 Burgos 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Alaves 20 9 7 4 +3 34
6 Granada 20 9 5 6 +10 32
7 Cartagena 20 9 5 6 +5 32
8 Andorra 21 8 5 8 +5 29
9 Albacete 20 7 8 5 -2 29
10 Villarreal B 20 7 7 6 -1 28
11 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
12 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
13 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
14 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Tenerife 21 6 7 8 -2 25
16 Oviedo 20 6 6 8 -3 24
17 Mirandes 20 5 8 7 -3 23
18 Ponferradina 20 5 6 9 -8 21
19 Santander 20 4 6 10 -7 18
20 Lugo 20 4 6 10 -9 18
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Ponferradina
Oriol Rey 🟨
9′
1–0 Raúl García
Óscar Pinchi
16′
2–0 Raúl García
20′
César Gelabert 🟨
30′
35′
🟨 Adrián Diéguez
40′
🟨 Erik Morán
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Yuri
↦ Adrián Diéguez
48′
Yuri 2–1
Dani Ojeda
César Gelabert 🟨
53′
César Gelabert 🟥
53′
Manu García 🔁
↦ Roberto López
58′
62′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Dani Ojeda
Raúl Parra 🔁
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
70′
73′
🔁 S. Abdulai
↦ Erik Morán
73′
🔁 Ale Díez
↦ Paris Adot
73′
🔁 Adrián Castellano
↦ Moi Delgado
79′
🟨 Heriberto Tavares
Beñat Prados 🔁
↦ Óscar Pinchi
87′
93′
🟨 Adrián Castellano
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mirandes

3-4-3
1 Ramón Juan G
4 Álex Martín D
16 Raúl Navas D
26 Barbu D
8 Juanlu Sánchez M
10 César Gelabert M
20 Oriol Rey M
12 José Salinas M
21 Roberto López F
9 Raúl García F
14 Óscar Pinchi F
Bench (11)
19 Manu García
3 Raúl Parra
6 Beñat Prados
29 Juan Durán
22 Jofre Carreras
32 Nacho Castillo
13 Alfonso Herrero
23 Marcos Paulo
17 S. Mráz
27 N. Michelis
5 Javi Serrano

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
1 A. Abedzadeh G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
5 José Amo D
16 Moi Delgado D
18 Erik Morán M
3 Adrián Diéguez M
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
30 Hugo Vallejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (8)
10 Yuri
17 Heriberto Tavares
24 S. Abdulai
21 Ale Díez
15 Adrián Castellano
13 G. Makaridze
32 M. Soumarè
2 Aldair

Coach: David Gallego

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,25
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.