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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Villarreal B
S T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 38%
45%
30%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal B 10. · Las Palmas 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 20 10 6 4 +7 36
2 Las Palmas 20 9 8 3 +11 35
3 Levante 20 9 8 3 +9 35
4 Burgos 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Alaves 20 9 7 4 +3 34
6 Granada 21 9 5 7 +9 32
7 Cartagena 20 9 5 6 +5 32
8 Andorra 21 8 5 8 +5 29
9 Albacete 20 7 8 5 -2 29
10 Villarreal B 20 7 7 6 -1 28
11 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
12 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
13 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
14 Mirandes 21 6 8 7 -2 26
15 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
16 Tenerife 21 6 7 8 -2 25
17 Oviedo 20 6 6 8 -3 24
18 Lugo 21 5 6 10 -8 21
19 Ponferradina 21 5 6 10 -9 21
20 Santander 20 4 6 10 -7 18
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Las Palmas
15′
🟥 Omenuke Mfulu
22′
🔁 Fabio González
↦ Óscar Clemente
27′
🟨 Eric Curbelo
Carlo Adriano García 🟨
28′
28′
Marc Cardona 0–1
Alberto Moleiro
42′
🟨 Sergi Cardona
Half-time 0–1
H. Hassan 🔁
↦ Carlo Adriano
46′
Antonio Pacheco 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
46′
Mamadou Fall 🟨
54′
Alberto del Moral 🟨
59′
Álex Forés ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
62′
65′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ Pejiño
65′
🔁 Álvaro Jiménez
↦ Marc Cardona
T. Geralnik 🔁
↦ Migue Leal
74′
Arana 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
74′
86′
🔁 Enrique Clemente
↦ Alberto Moleiro
Haissem Hassan 🟨
91′
Juan Carlos Arana 🟨
91′
N. Iosifov 🔁
↦ Dani Tasende
91′
93′
🟨 Fabio González
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 F. Jörgensen G
2 Migue Leal D
4 Dela D
23 M. Fall D
3 Dani Tasende D
10 Javi Ontiveros M
6 Alberto del Moral M
8 Carlo Adriano M
21 Sergio Lozano M
17 Álex Forés F
11 Fer Niño F
Bench (8)
14 H. Hassan
20 Antonio Pacheco
22 T. Geralnik
9 Arana
15 N. Iosifov
25 Gianni
24 L. Torres
28 Hugo Pérez

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Domínguez G
4 Álex Suárez D
23 Saúl Coco D
6 Eric Curbelo D
3 Sergi Cardona D
12 E. Loiodice M
22 O. Mfulu M
24 Pejiño M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
17 Óscar Clemente M
19 Marc Cardona F
Bench (9)
8 Fabio González
16 F. Andone
15 Álvaro Jiménez
5 Enrique Clemente
30 Javier Cendón
18 Sidnei
14 Álvaro Lemos
20 Joel del Pino
31 Joaquín

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,52
U
3,10
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.