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Süper Lig

Referee: Serkan Tokat

Erzurumspor

U S U U S

1–3

Full-time

Hatayspor

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

25%

46%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 17. · Hatayspor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	17	3	5	+31	54
2	Besiktas	24	16	3	5	+27	51
3	Fenerbahce	24	16	3	5	+21	51
4	Trabzonspor	25	14	6	5	+8	48
5	Alanyaspor	25	12	6	7	+16	42
6	Hatayspor	24	11	6	7	+10	39
7	Gaziantep	24	10	8	6	+8	38
8	Karagumruk	25	10	7	8	+5	37
9	Antalyaspor	24	7	11	6	-5	32
10	Konyaspor	24	8	6	10	+2	30
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	25	7	9	9	-2	30
12	Goztep	24	7	8	9	+3	29
13	Kasimpasa	25	8	5	12	-11	29
14	Sivasspor	23	6	10	7	-3	28
15	Rizespor	24	6	8	10	-12	26
16	Kayserispor	24	6	7	11	-11	25
17	Erzurumspor	24	6	7	11	-13	25
18	Buyuksehyr	25	6	6	13	-16	24
19	Denizlispor	25	5	6	14	-20	21
20	Genclerbirligi	24	5	5	14	-25	20
21	Ankaragücü	23	5	4	14	-13	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	13	9	2	2	+17	29
2	Besiktas	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+22	27
4	Gaziantep	12	7	4	1	+11	25
5	Karagumruk	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Fenerbahce	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+2	22
8	Kasimpasa	13	6	2	5	-3	20
9	Goztep	12	5	4	3	+9	19
10	Konyaspor	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Hatayspor	12	5	4	3	+6	19
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Rizespor	12	5	4	3	+1	19
14	Antalyaspor	12	5	4	3	-1	19
15	Buyuksehyr	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Ankaragücü	11	4	1	6	-2	13
17	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-4	13
18	Denizlispor	13	3	3	7	-6	12
19	Genclerbirligi	12	3	3	6	-8	12
20	Sivasspor	11	2	5	4	-3	11
21	Erzurumspor	12	1	6	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+15	29
2	Galatasaray	13	9	0	4	+9	27
3	Trabzonspor	13	7	5	1	+6	26
4	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Hatayspor	12	6	2	4	+4	20
6	Sivasspor	12	4	5	3	+0	17
7	Erzurumspor	12	5	1	6	-7	16
8	Karagumruk	13	3	5	5	-4	14
9	Alanyaspor	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Antalyaspor	12	2	7	3	-4	13
12	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Konyaspor	12	3	2	7	-4	11
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Goztep	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Buyuksehyr	12	3	1	8	-13	10
17	Kasimpasa	12	2	3	7	-8	9
18	Denizlispor	12	2	3	7	-14	9
19	Genclerbirligi	12	2	2	8	-17	8
20	Rizespor	12	1	4	7	-13	7
21	Ankaragücü	12	1	3	8	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.