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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Heracles
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Zwolle
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 11. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 19 3 2 +57 60
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 6 3 +29 51
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 14 7 3 +21 49
4 Vitesse 24 14 3 7 +14 45
5 Feyenoord 23 13 5 5 +26 44
6 Groningen 24 12 5 7 +5 41
7 Twente 25 9 9 7 +7 36
8 Utrecht 22 9 8 5 +8 35
9 Heerenveen 25 8 9 8 +0 33
10 For Sittard 24 9 4 11 -7 31
11 Heracles 24 8 5 11 -11 29
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 23 6 5 12 -8 23
14 Waalwijk 25 5 8 12 -14 23
15 VVV Venlo 24 6 4 14 -29 22
16 Willem II 25 4 6 15 -27 18
17 Den Haag 25 2 9 14 -33 15
18 FC Emmen 25 2 7 16 -32 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Zwolle
22′
🔁 Y. Nakayama
↦ R. Strieder
Noah Fadiga ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Vloet
G. Quagliata
61′
63′
M. Saymak 1–1
V. Misidjan
67′
🔁 E. Reijnders
↦ M. Saymak
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
71′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ I. Azzaoui
79′
80′
🔁 M. van Duinen
↦ V. Misidjan
80′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ T. Buitink
80′
🔁 I. Pherai
↦ B. Manuel
M. Knoester 🔁
↦ R. Pröpper
87′
T. Breukers 🔁
↦ N. Fadiga
87′
2–1 L. de la Torre
K. Jakobsen
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
4 R. Pröpper D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
18 I. Azzaoui F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
20 K. Jakobsen
25 A. Kutucu
13 M. Knoester
2 T. Breukers
16 M. Brouwer
26 K. Bucker
34 J. Hardeveld
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
17 A. Szőke
8 T. Bijleveld

Coach: F. Wormuth

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement M
7 V. Misidjan F
14 B. Manuel F
29 T. Buitink F
Bench (12)
4 Y. Nakayama
23 E. Reijnders
9 M. van Duinen
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
25 I. Pherai
16 N. Bertrams
36 M. Doue
20 T. van den Belt
33 R. van den Berg
21 S. Lagsir
11 J. Drost
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: B. Konterman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,49
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.