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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Anderlecht
U U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 42%
31%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
41%
74%
Both score Ø 63%
59%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 19 4 4 +41 61
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 34 17 4 13 +2 55
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 33 14 9 10 +4 51
5 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
6 Genk 28 13 9 6 +16 48
7 Mechelen 27 14 5 8 +6 47
8 Gent 28 12 6 10 +17 42
9 Anderlecht 29 9 15 5 +11 42
10 Charleroi 32 11 9 12 +1 42
11 Kortrijk 33 12 6 15 -4 42
12 Eupen 34 9 15 10 -8 42
13 Oostende 26 11 6 9 +7 39
14 Standard 29 10 8 11 +0 38
15 Cercle Brugge 33 12 2 19 -8 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
19 Waasland-Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25
20 Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Mechelen
1–0 L. Nmecha
43′
Half-time 1–0
E. Cobbaut 🔁
↦ H. Delcroix
48′
66′
I. de Camargo 1–1
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ P. Mukairu
71′
M. Dauda 🔁
↦ A. Diaby
71′
74′
🔁 S. Voet
↦ T. Peyre
74′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ K. Mrabti
83′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ I. de Camargo
84′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
A. El Hadj 🔁
↦ K. Lawrence
84′
84′
🔁 G. Hairemans
↦ M. Shved
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
1 T. Wellenreuther G
92 K. Lawrence D
20 M. Miazga D
62 M. Murillo D
42 H. Delcroix D
8 J. Cullen M
40 F. Amuzu M
48 A. Lokonga M
23 A. Diaby F
7 L. Nmecha M
12 P. Mukairu M
Bench (7)
22 E. Cobbaut
11 J. Bruun Larsen
38 M. Dauda
46 A. El Hadj
16 B. Verbruggen
25 A. Trebel
51 Y. Verschaeren

Coach: V. Kompany

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
88 S. Defour M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti F
35 M. Shved F
Bench (7)
14 S. Voet
11 N. Storm
9 F. Druijf
7 G. Hairemans
26 V. Wernersson
8 O. Kaya
1 G. Coucke

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,68
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.