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Super League

Referee: S Marciniak

PAOK

U S S T U

2–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

This season — Super League · 26/24 matches

Win Ø 54%

50%

58%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

58%

33%

Both score Ø 40%

54%

25%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	27	21	5	1	+50	68
2	Aris	25	14	6	5	+17	48
3	AEK	26	14	6	6	+10	48
4	PAOK	26	13	8	5	+23	47
5	Aris Thessalonikis	24	14	5	5	+17	47
6	Panathinaikos	27	13	6	8	+10	45
7	Asteras Tripolis	27	12	9	6	+3	45
8	Giannina	27	7	9	11	-4	30
9	Volos NFC	27	7	9	11	-10	30
10	Atromitos	27	6	10	11	-14	28
11	Apollon	26	7	4	15	-10	25
12	Lamia	26	5	7	14	-25	22
13	Panetolikos	27	4	9	14	-19	21
14	OFI Crete	26	5	4	17	-23	19
15	Larisa	26	3	7	16	-25	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	12	2	0	+32	38
2	PAOK	13	8	5	0	+19	29
3	Asteras Tripolis	13	8	3	2	+5	27
4	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	2	3	+8	23
5	Aris	12	7	2	3	+8	23
6	Panathinaikos	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	AEK	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Giannina	14	3	5	6	-4	14
11	Volos NFC	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Lamia	12	3	3	6	-8	12
13	Apollon	13	3	1	9	-8	10
14	OFI Crete	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Larisa	13	1	5	7	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	9	3	1	+18	30
2	AEK	13	9	2	2	+8	29
3	Aris	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Panathinaikos	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	PAOK	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Volos NFC	14	4	5	5	-5	17
9	Giannina	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Apollon	13	4	3	6	-2	15
11	OFI Crete	12	3	1	8	-8	10
12	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-13	10
13	Lamia	14	2	4	8	-17	10
14	Larisa	13	2	2	9	-13	8
15	Panetolikos	13	0	6	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.