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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Olympiakos

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,2

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 58%

79%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

58%

36%

Both score Ø 45%

48%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

7 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	33	26	5	2	+58	83
2	AEK	33	18	6	9	+11	60
3	Aris Thessalonikis	30	17	6	7	+18	57
4	Aris	30	17	6	7	+18	57
5	PAOK	32	15	10	7	+23	55
6	Panathinaikos	33	15	7	11	+10	52
7	Asteras Tripolis	33	12	11	10	-4	47
8	Volos NFC	32	9	12	11	-7	39
9	Giannina	32	9	10	13	-4	37
10	Lamia	32	8	10	14	-20	34
11	Atromitos	32	6	13	13	-16	31
12	Apollon	32	8	6	18	-14	30
13	OFI Crete	32	6	7	19	-24	25
14	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-24	25
15	Larisa	32	5	9	18	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	PAOK	16	10	6	0	+23	36
3	Aris Thessalonikis	15	9	2	4	+9	29
4	Aris	15	9	2	4	+9	29
5	Asteras Tripolis	16	8	5	3	+4	29
6	Panathinaikos	17	8	4	5	+8	28
7	AEK	16	7	4	5	+2	25
8	Volos NFC	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Atromitos	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Lamia	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Giannina	16	4	5	7	-4	17
13	Apollon	16	4	2	10	-9	14
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	15	1	6	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	11	3	2	+22	36
2	AEK	17	11	2	4	+9	35
3	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	4	3	+9	28
4	Aris	15	8	4	3	+9	28
5	Panathinaikos	16	7	3	6	+2	24
6	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
7	PAOK	16	5	4	7	+0	19
8	Volos NFC	15	4	6	5	-5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	17	4	6	7	-8	18
10	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
11	Lamia	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Larisa	17	4	3	10	-11	15
13	OFI Crete	16	3	3	10	-10	12
14	Atromitos	16	2	6	8	-14	12
15	Panetolikos	16	0	7	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.