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Super League

Referee: P Tsagarakis

Aris Thessalonikis

S U T T S

2–0

Full-time

Panetolikos

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Super League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,1

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,6

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 10. · Panetolikos 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	OFI Crete	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Larisa	9	4	3	2	+4	15
5	Xanthi	9	5	0	4	-1	15
6	AEK	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Volos NFC	9	4	0	5	-7	12
8	Atromitos	8	3	2	3	+4	11
9	Aris	7	2	2	3	+2	8
10	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Panathinaikos	9	2	2	5	-10	8
12	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Lamia	7	0	4	3	-7	4
14	Panionios	8	1	1	6	-10	4
15	Panetolikos	7	0	2	5	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	OFI Crete	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Volos NFC	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	AEK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Xanthi	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Aris	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	1	2	+2	4
10	Larisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Lamia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Panionios	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Larisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Xanthi	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	AEK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Panathinaikos	5	2	1	2	-6	7
7	OFI Crete	5	1	2	2	+0	5
8	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Aris	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Volos NFC	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Panetolikos	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Panionios	4	0	1	3	-8	1
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.