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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Beveren
U U U S T
1–3
Full-time
Mechelen
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
9%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
45%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 17. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 10 3 0 +26 33
2 Standard 13 8 3 2 +18 27
3 Genk 14 8 2 4 +9 26
4 Gent 13 7 3 3 +11 24
5 Charleroi 13 7 3 3 +9 24
6 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Mechelen 12 6 3 3 +2 21
8 Waregem 13 5 5 3 +6 20
9 Mouscron 12 4 4 4 +0 16
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Anderlecht 14 3 6 5 -1 15
12 Kortrijk 13 4 2 7 -1 14
13 St Truiden 14 3 5 6 -11 14
14 Oostende 13 3 2 8 -12 11
15 Eupen 14 2 5 7 -17 11
16 Waasland-Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
17 Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
18 Cercle Brugge 13 2 0 11 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Mechelen
Aaron Tshibola 🟨
30′
45′
O. Kaya 0–1
J. Vanlerberghe
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Kobayashi
A. Koita
52′
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ A. Koita
59′
66′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
66′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ N. Storm
66′
A. Tshibola 2–1
own goal
72′
🟨 Alexander Corryn
D. Jubitana 🔁
↦ A. Tshibola
78′
D. Sula 🔁
↦ A. Wiegel
80′
Daam Foulon 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 L. Bijker
↦ A. Corryn
89′
W. Togui 2–2
C. Tainmont
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Beveren

4-2-3-1
13 N. Jackers G
7 A. Wiegel D
52 J. Schrijvers D
26 A. Vukotić D
23 M. Caufriez D
28 D. Foulon D
10 Y. Kobayashi M
6 A. Tshibola M
55 T. Dierckx F
9 F. Durmishaj F
17 A. Koita F
Bench (7)
11 B. Badibanga
14 D. Jubitana
98 D. Sula
27 X. Emmers
21 L. Pirard
19 A. Gamboa
4 V. Moren

Coach: A. Mercier

Mechelen

4-4-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
4 S. Bateau D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
9 W. Togui
21 C. Tainmont
3 L. Bijker
31 D. Vanzeir
7 G. Hairemans
1 B. Castro
33 G. Alexander

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.