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Premier League

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Norwich

S T T T U

1–3

Full-time

Man United

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

56%

22%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 19. · Man United 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Man City	10	7	1	2	+23	22
3	Leicester	10	6	2	2	+17	20
4	Chelsea	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Arsenal	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Crystal Palace	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Sheffield United	10	3	4	3	+1	13
8	Bournemouth	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	West Ham	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Wolves	10	2	6	2	+0	12
12	Burnley	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Aston Villa	10	3	2	5	-1	11
15	Man United	9	2	4	3	+1	10
16	Everton	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Newcastle	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Southampton	10	2	2	6	-16	8
19	Norwich	9	2	1	6	-11	7
20	Watford	10	0	5	5	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Man City	5	3	1	1	+13	10
4	Tottenham	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Burnley	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Everton	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Brighton	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Aston Villa	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Crystal Palace	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	West Ham	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Bournemouth	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Wolves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Sheffield United	5	2	0	3	-1	6
18	Norwich	4	2	0	2	-2	6
19	Watford	5	0	3	2	-5	3
20	Southampton	5	0	1	4	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Man City	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Chelsea	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Leicester	5	2	1	2	+8	7
5	Sheffield United	5	1	4	0	+2	7
6	Bournemouth	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Wolves	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	West Ham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Arsenal	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Burnley	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Aston Villa	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Newcastle	5	1	0	4	-9	3
16	Man United	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Tottenham	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Watford	5	0	2	3	-11	2
19	Everton	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Norwich	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.